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郭家耀:美CPI超預期減息期望降溫 港股或挑戰22,000阻力
港灣家族辦公室業務發展總監郭家耀稱,美股週三(12日)個別發展,美國1月份通脹數據高於預期,市場對減息期望降溫,拖累大市下滑,尾市跌幅稍爲收窄,三大指數收市升跌不一。美元走勢靠穩,美國十年期債息上升至4.62釐水平,金價及油價表現受壓。港股預託證券大致向好,預料大市早段跟隨高開。 內地股市昨日向上,滬綜指低開高走,收市上升0.9%,滬深兩市成交額亦略爲增加。 港股持續強勢,市傳阿里-W(09988.HK)跟蘋果(AAPL.US)合作發展AI,繼續帶動市場氣氛,指數高見21,800點水平,大市成交增加至2,800億元,顯示資金繼續流入。市場氣氛熾熱,AI相關概念股繼續熱炒,預料指數進一步挑戰22,000點阻力,下方支持在21,000點水平。 另國家統計局日前公佈1月居民消費價格指數(CPI)按年上升0.5%,高於市場預期的上升0.4%。其中食品價格上升0.4%,非食品價格上漲0.5%。按月比,1月CPI上升0.7%,其中食品價格升1.3%,非食品價格上升0.6%。1月份,食品菸酒類價格按年升0.6%。食品中,畜肉類價格上漲2.5%,影響CPI上漲約0.08個百分點,其中豬肉價格上漲13.8%,影響CPI上漲約0.17個百分點;鮮菜價格上漲2.4%,影響CPI上漲約0.05個百分點;水產品價格上漲1.2%,影響CPI上漲約0.02個百分點;鮮果價格上漲0.6%,影響CPI上漲約0.01個百分點;糧食價格下降1.4%,影響CPI下降約0.03個百分點。1月份工業生產者出廠價格指數(PPI)按年下跌2.3%,降幅與上月相同;按月比,PPI下降0.2%。國統局表示,1月份受春節因素影響,全國CPI漲幅擴大。扣除食品和能源價格的核心CPI連續第4個月回升,按月上漲0.5%,按年上漲0.6%,漲幅均比上月有所擴大。1月份CPI扭轉近月趨勢,通縮壓力有所舒緩,不過還需要後續數據支持,情況有待觀察。 (筆者爲證監會持牌人仕,本人及相關人士沒持有上述股份)~
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