郭思治:大市急回並似欲下試50天及20天線
香港股票分析師協會副主席郭思治稱,大市昨(22日)結束六連升,且更出現明顯回吐,恆指昨早市先低開109點至19,997點,其後曾略爲後抽至20,022點,但由於買盤不繼,加上伺高回吐之沽盤亦不斷涌現,故整個大市卒開始掉頭回落,至午後恆指更一度急跌373點至19,733點,單從技術上看,大市不但已再跌穿20,000點大關,且亦漸跌近50天線(約在19,691點左近)及20天線(約在19,629點左近),值得留意的是,恆指一旦跌穿50天線及20天線,該表示整個自13日低位18,671點開始之反彈,暫該已止步於21日之高位20,205點,由於市內氣氛薄弱,故大市其後一直拉據於日內低位附近,恆指最後報收19,778點,較上日跌327點,全日總成交金額爲1,353億元。
拉闊一點看,去年11月之高位爲8日之21,355點,至於12月之高位則爲10日之21,070點,從技術上看,該屬一個小雙頂,此亦爲後市較關鍵之阻力位,嚴格而言,大市如欲進一步上試此小雙頂,成交金額絕不能縮,因大市之動力如不相配,升勢定必漸受規限,另外,大市如欲維持逐步試頂之趨勢,恆指必需續穩守於各組平均移動線之上,尤其系50天線之支持不容有失。
(筆者爲證監會持牌人)~
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