郭思治:大市之技術支持已退守至100天線左近
香港股票分析師協會副主席郭思治稱,大市踏進2025年首個交易日後,技術上出現頗明顯之逆轉,恆指昨(2日)早市先低開127點至19,932點,其後由於買盤薄弱,加上零碎沽壓又不斷滲着涌現,故整個大市卒在反覆中再急跌517點至19,542點方漸見喘定,由於沽壓稍減,加上維穩買盤漸現,故大市開始略作回升,但在買盤保守下,大市只能略作後抽,從走勢上看,大市經過昨天之一輪急跌,恆指己一舉跌穿50天線(約在20,008點左近),20天線(約在19,938點左排近)及10天線(約在19,880點左近),即是說,目前大市己再度重陷反覆不明之中,形勢對1月上旬之發展頗爲不利,恆指最後報收19,623點,較上日跌436點,全日總成交金額爲1,647億元。
踏進2025年首個交易日,大市走勢急轉直下,恆指早市己低開127點至19,932點,其後再進一步急跌517點至19,542點方漸見喘定,即其時恆指己一舉跌穿50天線,20天線及10天線,單從技術上看,大市目前己再度重陷反覆不明且帶軟之中,而目前較重要之支持己順勢下移至100天線(約在19,361點左近),此防綠一旦再有失,則11月26日低位19,054點之支持可能亦會面臨考驗,照目前之市勢看,1月大市該會先往下尋低位,至於低位會在何處,技術上需多觀察數天才得知,大市不明,任何技術性之短炒行動最好先暫抱觀望。
(筆者爲證監會持牌人)~
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