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郭思治:大市持續處反覆試底之弱態中
阿思達克 04-09 09:03
香港股票分析師協會副主席郭思治稱,大市昨(8日)先升後反覆,恆指早市先高開329點至20,157點,其後再進一步升至20,454點方漸受規限,由於買盤不繼,加上沽壓又再滲着涌現,故整個大市卒開始逐步回落,而午後更一度倒跌83點至19,745點方漸見喘定,但在買盤態度審憤下,即使大市能略作回升,但氣候已難成,從技術上看,恆指如未能成功重越20,000點並穩守其上,擔心最後仍會再下試7日之低位19,706點,此防線一旦有失,恆指不但會再進一步往下尋月內低位,且整個調整市亦將會進一步延續,亦可能發展成新一輪跌浪,恆指最後報收20,127點,較上日升299點,全日總成交金額爲4226億元。 再看移動線方面之表現,經過近日之一輪急跌後,移動線之表現已進一步示弱,目前由上而下爲20天線(約在23,322點左近),50天線(約在22,654點左近),10天線(約在22,617點左近),100天線(約在21,173點左近)及250天線(約在19,492點左近),即是說,10天線繼跌穿20天線後,現又再進一步跌穿50天線,再亮另一死亡交叉,單從技術上看,該表示大市之走勢再進一步轉弱,由於目前恆指已相繼跌穿20天線,50天線,10天線及100天線,擔心一旦沽壓再稍作主動,恆指將會進一步跌穿250天線,此據點一旦有失,即表示本年1月13日低位18,671點之支持可能會面臨考驗。 (筆者爲證監會持牌人)~
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