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郭思治:大市開始下試23,000點之支持
阿思達克 04-01 09:09
香港股票分析師協會副主席郭思治稱,大市昨再進一步受壓,恆指昨(31日)早市先低開219點至23,207點,其後曾略爲後抽至23,399點,但由於買盤不繼,加上零碎沽壓又再不斷滲着涌現,故整個大市卒開始進一步回落,而恆指亦一度急跌424點至23,002點 方稍見喘定,從走勢上看,大市自3月19日高位24,874點開始之調整,技術上不但仍在延續中,且恆指繼跌穿10天線(約在23,828點左近)及20天線(約在23,808點左近)之後,且可能會進一步下試50天線(約在22,448點左近),即整個調整之勢頭似會延續至4月份之上旬,恆指最後報收23,119點,較上日跌307點,全日總成交金額爲2,537億元。 再看移動線方面之表現,直到執筆一刻止計,各組平均移動線之排列由上而下爲10天線(約在23,828點左近),20天線(約在23,808點左近),50天線(約在22,448點左近),100天線(約在22,119點左近)及250天線(約在19,385點左近),單從排列之形態上看,技術上暫仍屬標準之升市模式,但需留意,由於10天線正在高速下移中,即走勢上將會開始跌穿20天線,一旦出現跌破信號,該表示整個大市之反覆將會進一步明顯,故任何投機性之短炒行動均需保守,首先不宜過急及過勇,另外,亦需做好一切風險管理,經驗告訴我們,大市之表現越見反覆及不明,市場之氣氛會越見審慎,而期間大市之交投亦會逐漸趨向淡靜。 (筆者爲證監會持牌人)~
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