郭思治:大市明顯調整並跌穿23,000點
香港股票分析師協會副主席郭思治稱,大市已開始步入3月份之上旬,市場之焦點該會關注內地在兩會後之公佈,從周來大市之表現看,市場對此確頗具憧憬,期待政策會進一步刺激經濟及加大扶持之力度,故資金近期仍不斷涌入,在龐大之動力支持下,大市之升勢確頗有欲擺不能之感,但從走勢上看,大市於2月份確已累積不少升幅,恆指是由3日之低位19,764點升至27日之高位24,076點,即2月份之上升波幅已有達4,312點,單從技術上看,大市之升勢確頗爲倫促,同時亦處超買中,故一旦稍有不明或利淡因素出現,可能會成爲大市回調之藉口,故任何再冒高追入之投機性短炒行動,切勿過急及過勇,同時亦需做好一切風險管理。
再拉闊一點看,此潮大市之升浪是始自於今年1月13日之低位18,671點,至2月27日之高位24,076點止計,大市在短短7周內,累積之升幅已有達5,405點或28.9%,論升幅當已不算小,且升勢亦頗偏促,只是大市之交投仍持續保持暢旺,故升勢暫仍有欲擺不能之感,但需留意,近日個別領航股已開始於高臺出現反覆,如中移動(00941.HK)已略見回吐,至於小米(01810.HK)更初呈穿頭破腳之弱態,其他累積升幅已不少之股份亦需慎防高臺會漸呈反覆,畢竟月來累積之升幅已不算小矣。
(筆者爲證監會持牌人,筆者沒有持有上述股票及任何相關權益)~
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