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郭思治:大市已初步重越20,000點大關
阿思達克 12-30 09:02
香港股票分析師協會副主席郭思治稱,踏進本週,大市已進入2024年之尾聲,而剩下之交易日亦只得一日半。週一(30日)是即月期指結算日,而週二(31日)是除夕日,只得半日市,是爲即月場外衍生工具結算日,同時亦是2024年之年結日。從周來大市之走勢看,一衆維穩買盤及粉飾廚窗等相關活動該已漸主導大局。即是說,只要沒有黑天鵝事件出現,即月期指該可在20,000點左近進行轉倉及結算。單從技術上看,大市如能持續緊扣着20,000點左近,即使不能作較明顯之推升,但至少會給人已回穩之感,同時亦該有利於明年一月上旬大市之發展。 再看移動線方面之表現。目前各組平均移動線之排列由上至下爲50天線(約在20,041點左近),10天線(約在19,927點左近),20天線(約在19,871點左近),100天線(約在19,268點左近)及250天線(約在17,996點左近)。以恆指目前正整固於20,100點左近計,既大市技術上已成功重越各組平均移動線。只要大市能保持此形態不變,該表示大市已止跌回穩,且只要成交金額能再見暢旺,在動力配合下,大市該可再候機推上,而暫時技術性之上望目標該分別爲12月3日之高位21,070點及11月8日之高位21,355點。從小圖上看,此有點似技術性小雙底。 (筆者爲證監會持牌人)~
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