郭思治:大市已正式下試50天線之支持
香港股票分析師協會副主席郭思治稱,大市已身處4月份之上旬,而直到執筆一刻止計,形態上暫已初呈先高而後低,恆指暫是由1日之高位23,456點跌至3日之低位22,638點,即月內之波幅暫爲818點,由於一個月之高低位是不會同時出現於3個交易日之內,加上818點之波幅亦該不能滿足月內之所需,故在本月餘下之交易日,定必有更大之波幅點出現,從而擴闊月內之波幅以滿足所需,同時亦能拉闊月內高低位之距離以符合慣性之要求,值得留意的是,恆指已連續七個交易日反覆並低收於10天線(約在23,381點左近)及20天線(約在23,725點左近)之下,即單從技術上看,大市進一步往下尋月內低位之機會似較大。
談到移動線方面,經過周來之一輪反覆回落後,目前移動線方面之佈局已初呈逆轉,現各組平均移動線由上而下之排列爲20天線(約在23,725點左近),10天線(約在23,381點左近),50天線(約在22,653點左近),100天線(約在21,190點左近)及250天線(約在19,464點左近),由於目前10天線已開始跌穿20天線,該表示大市之反覆正在持續中,如情況仍持續,一旦恆指正式跌穿23,000點,其時較重要之支持將退守至50天線(約在22,653點左近),但需留意,大市一旦正式跌穿50天線,則在沽壓主導下,可能會進一步下試22,000點大關。
(筆者爲證監會持牌人)~
Follow us
Find us on
Facebook,
Twitter ,
Instagram, and
YouTube or frequent updates on all things investing.Have a financial topic you would like to discuss? Head over to the
uSMART Community to share your thoughts and insights about the market! Click the picture below to download and explore uSMART app!

Disclaimers
uSmart Securities Limited (“uSmart”) is based on its internal research and public third party information in preparation of this article. Although uSmart uses its best endeavours to ensure the content of this article is accurate, uSmart does not guarantee the accuracy, timeliness or completeness of the information of this article and is not responsible for any views/opinions/comments in this article. Opinions, forecasts and estimations reflect uSmart’s assessment as of the date of this article and are subject to change. uSmart has no obligation to notify you or anyone of any such changes. You must make independent analysis and judgment on any matters involved in this article. uSmart and any directors, officers, employees or agents of uSmart will not be liable for any loss or damage suffered by any person in reliance on any representation or omission in the content of this article. The content of the article is for reference only and does not constitute any offer, solicitation, recommendation, opinion or guarantee of any securities, virtual assets, financial products or instruments. Regulatory authorities may restrict the trading of virtual asset-related ETFs to only investors who meet specified requirements. Any calculations or images in the article are for illustrative purposes only.
Investment involves risks and the value and income from securities may rise or fall. Past performance is not indicative of future performance. Please carefully consider your personal risk tolerance, and consult independent professional advice if necessary.