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AIoT爆發式增長!樂鑫科技Q1營收創新高,股價狂飆12%
格隆匯 04-30 16:44

近期,大模型領域重磅消息不斷,AI端側有望受益。

今日,小米開源首個為推理而生的大模型“Xiaomi MiMo”,聯動預訓練到後訓練,全面提升推理能力。 

在數學推理和代碼競賽公開測評集上,MiMo僅用7B的參數規模,超越了OpenAI的閉源推理模型o1-mini和阿里Qwen更大規模的開源推理模型QwQ-32B-Preview。

受此刺激,再疊加多家公司一季度業績快速增長,人工智能物聯網(AIoT)相關個股升嗨了。

其中,樂鑫科技的表現最為亮眼,今日收升12.16%,最新報218元/股,總市值為244.6億元。

Q1營收創新高

今年一季度,樂鑫科技實現營業收入5.58億元,同比增長44.08%,創下歷史新高;歸母淨利潤為9370.44億元,同比增長73.8%;扣非淨利潤為8906.66萬元,同比增長85.91%。

期間,“國補”等刺激內需的政策措施有利於刺激智能家居和消費電子領域,為樂鑫科技的產品創造了有利的需求環境。

樂鑫科技在智能家居領域的增長達30%,仍是其主要收入來源。

另一方面,智能家居之外,工業、能源和醫療健康等領域的增長速度更為迅速。

值得注意的是,樂鑫科技一季度的毛利率穩中有升,當季達43.37%,較上年同期增加1.44個百分點。

目前,樂鑫科技的成本端都已處於價格低位,非智能家居領域的銷售增長支撐住了較好的毛利率水平。

在營收高增的同時,樂鑫科技對單一客户的依賴連年降低,最新的前五大客户集中度為25.2%。

對此,樂鑫科技表示,公司的產品應用於泛IoT領域,着眼於長期的數字化升級,而非依賴某個行業或客户的短期爆發性增長。

近年來,受益於AIGC技術快速發展,樂鑫科技的業績出現爆發式增長。

去年,樂鑫科技實現營收20.07億元,同比增長40.04%;淨利潤為3.39億元,同比增長149.13%。

端側產品今年內逐步落地

目前,市場正在密切關注AI玩具等端側產品的落地

最新,樂鑫科技透露,公司與字節旗下的火山引擎以及IP提供方的合作正在推進中,具體產品預計今年內逐步落地,可能屆時會從第三方拆機新聞裏看到。

樂鑫科技還觀察到,今年一季度,確實有不少具備語音交互、AIGC能力的玩具類產品快速湧現,既有傳統玩具廠商的升級嘗試,也有互聯網公司的跨界探索。

至於關税衝擊,樂鑫科技稱,公司直接出口美國非常少,且美國客户要求照常發貨。但下游客户中會有部分出口美國,無法統計影響。

展望未來,國金證券認為,樂鑫科技一季度營收創歷史新高,下游應用領域持續拓展,公司處於高增長軌道。

國金證券預計,樂鑫科技2025-2027年收入分別為26.94億元、35.02億元、45.49億元,歸母淨利潤為4.74億元、6.6億元、9.18億元,對應EPS為4.23、5.88、8.18元,繼續維持“買入”評級。

華泰證券看好樂鑫科技作為Wi-FiMCU龍頭產品矩陣拓展和軟硬件協同能力提升,維持25/26/27年歸母淨利潤預測4.61/6.33/8.37億元。

考慮樂鑫科技為AI端側核心受益標的,華泰證券給予43倍26EPE(Wind一致性預期中值43x26EPE),維持目標價242.5元,維持“增持”評級。

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