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油價迎"雙重暴擊",中東股市也崩了!

誰都逃不過特朗普關税風暴。

繼亞太、歐美股市接連遭血洗之後,中東股市也徹底崩了!

特朗普關税和油價暴跌影響下,中東股市遭遇五年來最嚴重的暴跌。

其中,沙特主板市場的股票一度下跌超6%,創下自2020年以來的最大跌幅。

全球石油巨頭沙特阿美股價盤中崩跌超6%,市值蒸發約900億美元;現下跌 4.75%。

此前在特朗普公佈的全球對等關税中,海灣地區的六個經濟國家(巴林、科威特阿曼、卡塔爾、沙特阿拉伯和阿聯酋),以及中東和北非國家埃及、伊朗、黎巴嫩、摩洛哥和也門均被徵收最低 10% 的關税。

其中,敍利亞最高達41%,其次是伊拉克(39%)、利比亞(31%)阿爾及利亞(30%)、突尼斯(28%)和約旦(20%)。

油價迎雙重暴擊

特朗普關税襲擊全球金融市場後,市場恐慌情緒蔓延,油價也遭遇了斷崖式暴跌。

週五,國際原油價格暴跌至四年來的低位,全周跌幅高達11%。

油價崩跌的背後,是特朗普貿易戰以及OPEC+意外增產帶來的"雙重暴擊"

一方面,在特朗普關税落地後,中國對美關税展開反擊。

作為全球最大的石油進口國,中國的動作也令市場加劇對全球經濟和全球石油需求前景的擔憂。

另外,OPEC+意外決定增加下個月石油供應,也加劇了市場拋售。

據悉,OPEC+5月將增產規模擴大至41.1萬桶/日(原計劃13.5萬桶/日),本次增幅是原計劃的三倍,遠超預期。

這也顯著加劇了市場對供應過剩的擔憂。

因為當額外的 OPEC+石油開始進入市場時,價格可能會進一步下跌。

此前巴黎國際能源署就預測,隨着中國需求增長降温以及美洲各地供應增加,全球石油供應將過剩 60萬桶/日。

花旗集團和摩根大通預測,原油價格最終將跌至每桶 60 美元。

不過摩根士丹利稱,在情況進一步明朗之前,仍維持對今年下半年布倫特油價67.5美元/桶的預期,但風險偏向謹慎。

目前,高盛因貿易緊張局勢和OPEC+供應增加而下調油價預期。

高盛預計,今年布倫特油價將為69美元/桶,此前預期為73美元/桶;WTI油價將為66美元/桶,此前預期為69美元/桶。

到2026年,預計布倫特和WTI油價將分別跌至62美元/桶和59美元/桶。

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