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港股異動丨黃金股普跌 分析稱黃金價格正日益面臨大幅下跌的風險
格隆匯 04-02 11:17

港股黃金股普遍下跌,其中,細價股復興亞洲大跌超18%,靈寶黃金、招金礦業、中國黃金國際跌近4%,紫金礦業、山東黃金跟跌。消息上,昨日晚國際黃金價格衝高回落,亞洲早盤繼續上漲,關稅是金價上漲的直接原因之一。隨着更多關稅宣佈的臨近,黃金是唯一一種幾乎不間斷上漲的主要資產。然而,它的高回報和低波動率使它容易受到挫折。業內人士分析稱,如果以史爲鑑的話,黃金價格正日益面臨大幅下跌的風險。自1920年以來,黃金的平均複合年回報率爲每十年4.92%。如果本十年的回報率接近這一統計平均值,那麼到2030年底,金價將在每盎司3070美元左右——這意味着, 迄今爲止幾個月的超額收益正在開啓深度回調的前景。儘管如此,在全球金融體系風雲變幻的情況下,擁有黃金的根本原因依然存在。(格隆匯)

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