股價率先搶跑?4倍PCB大牛股業績大爆發,Q1盈利將創新高
今日,勝宏科技股價再創新高,最高觸及73.98元/股,最終收漲8.09%,報69.89元/股,總市值602.9億元,成交額70.07億元,換手率17.9%。
自去年2月以來,勝宏科技股價一路走高,從最低的13.67元/股至今日的最高點翻了4倍多。
近6個交易日,在英偉達產業鏈下跌狂潮下,勝宏科技更是逆勢上漲,累計漲超30%。

業績大爆發
而股價逆勢走高的背後,正是勝宏科技強勁的業績。
昨日公告顯示,勝宏科技預計,今年第一季度實現歸母淨利潤7.8億元-9.8億元,同比增長272%-368%,環比增長96.97-147.47%;扣非淨利潤7.7億元-9.7億元,同比增長272.68%-369.48%。
這一業績將創下公司單季盈利新高,不僅超過了2023年一整年的利潤,還是去年全年的67%-84%,這就相當於三個月賺了去年前十個月的錢。

對於業績變動的主要原因,勝宏科技表示,公司堅定“擁抱 AI,奔向未來”,精準把握AI算力技術革新與數據中心升級浪潮帶來的歷史新機遇,佔據全球PCB製造技術制高點,憑藉研發技術優勢、製造技術優勢和品質技術優勢,驅動公司高價值量產品的訂單規模急速上升,盈利能力進一步增強。
近幾年來,勝宏科技的業績在經過前期的大幅增長後,逐步穩定,並在去年四季度、今年一季度出現大爆發。
2020年-2023年,勝宏科技實現淨利潤5.19億元、6.7億元、7.91億元、6.71億元,同比12.13%、29.2%、17.93%、-15.09%。

2024年,勝宏科技實現營業總收入107.31億元,同比增長35.31%;歸母淨利潤爲11.61億元,同比增長72.94%。
以此計算,去年四季度,勝宏科技實現營收30.33億元,同比增長38.5%;歸母淨利潤爲3.96億元,同比增長362.62%。

機構看好長期潛力
資料顯示,勝宏科技深耕PCB領域多年,主打高速通信HDI產品,近年來積極佈局AI算力、新能源及新能車等領域。
目前,勝宏科技已成功進入英偉達、AMD、英特爾、特斯拉、微軟、博世、亞馬遜、谷歌、臺達等國際知名企業的供應鏈。
而HDI爲北美算力龍頭明確技術路徑,產業趨勢明確。根據Prismark預計,2023-2028年全球HDI的CAGR達到16.3%,有望成爲PCB增長最快的細分領域之一。
展望未來,招商證券看好勝宏科技中長線持續產能擴張和產品升級預期,維持“增持”投資評級。
招商證券認爲,考慮公司大力擴張海外AI算力高端產能,未來公司在算力市場的客戶產品佈局所帶來的增長潛力,預計公司24-26年營收107.3/171.7/214.6億,歸母淨利潤11.6/29.6/38.5億,EPS爲1.35/3.43/4.47元,對應當前股價PE爲48.1/18.9/14.5倍。
中泰證券認爲,目前勝宏科技已突破了高多層板、高階HDI板技術,並且實現了PTFE等材料的應用,景氣度極高,預計後續業績有望持續高增,且催化不斷:
1)勝宏一季度業績反應海外算力景氣度極高,國內阿里大幅上修資本開支,BBAT等互聯網有望跟隨,國內AI基礎設施投入也開啓軍備競賽,作爲算力基礎的PCB環節今年仍處於供不應求狀態;2)GTC大會可能公佈PTFE方案作爲PCB未來新增量,後續海內外大廠資本開支仍可能持續超預期,算力後續催化不斷。
不過,儘管基本面較好,勝宏科技今日股價創新高後有所回落,且成交量明顯放大,加上前幾個交易日已出現搶跑跡象,短期來看,還是謹慎參與爲好,避免高位接盤。
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