2月收官:北證50飆漲23%領跑全球股市!阿根廷“牛市”熄火
今日,A股市場迎來了2月的收官之戰,A股在連漲3周後,本週迎來調整,前期熱門板塊集體回落。
但從全月表現看,港A股表現仍相對強勢,歐美市場普遍承壓。
2月港A股主要指數均錄得上漲,北證50指數2月累計大漲超23%領漲全球;在“科技牛”的帶動下,恆生科技指數漲超17%,恆生指數漲超13%,創業板指、深證成指皆有漲幅。
阿根廷、日本股市表現疲軟,阿根廷MERV指數2月累計跌14.47%領跌,日經225指數下跌6.11%;美股震盪走弱,道瓊斯工業指數下跌2.93%。

2月收官日A股跳水
計算機板塊領漲月度行情
2月最後一個交易日,A股收官大跌,滬指跌近2%,創業板指跌近4%,大科技主線大調整。

從2月的整體走勢來看,市場呈現出衝高回落的態勢。月初,A股市場一度展開了春季攻勢。尤其是以機器人概念、AI(DS)概念爲代表的科技板塊,成爲了市場的焦點。進入2月下旬,市場開始面臨一系列新的挑戰。特朗普宣佈對多國加徵關稅的計劃,對全球市場造成了巨大沖擊。亞太股市全線殺跌,A股市場亦跟隨走弱。
板塊方面,2月漲幅前三的板塊爲:計算機漲16.31%、機械設備漲10.71%、汽車漲9.18%;跌幅前三的板塊爲:煤炭跌7.58%、石油石化跌1.06%、銀行跌0.99%。

個股方面,2月漲幅居前三的個股分別爲萬達軸承(226.01%)、並行科技(181.43%)和優刻得-W(155.24%),跌幅居前三的個股分別爲德科立(-29.7%)、青木科技(-28.07%)和北京文化(-28%)。

2月港股市場表現亮眼
科技股領跑
港股方面,今日三大指數皆有跌幅,恆指跌3.28%,恆生科技指數跌5.32%,國指跌3.63%。
整個2月,港股表現驚豔,受益於DeepSeek的“破圈”效應,科技板塊的提振明顯。
在“科技牛”的帶動下,恆生科技指數月度累漲近18%,恆指累漲13.43%,國指累漲14.02%。

個股層面,2月漲幅前三(百億市值以上)的個股爲:新意網集團漲134.13%,經緯天地漲92.64%,地平線機器人漲84.44%。跌幅前三的個股分別爲:邁富時跌25.08%、東方甄選跌20.69%、攜程集團跌20.33%。

行業指數方面,非必需性消費(月度漲幅19.59%)、醫療保健業(月度漲幅16.34%)本月漲幅居前;能源業(月度跌幅3.94%)、原材料業(月度漲幅1.35%)本月跌幅居前。

後市怎麼看?
展望3月,鑑於2月收官戰的調整,市場分化在所難免,而DeepSeek的影響還在持續,下個月會議召開,市場預期將釋放一系列利好政策。
華龍證券稱,覆盤近十年“兩會”前五個交易日市場表現,市場總體上漲的概率較低,上證指數上漲概率爲40%,萬得全A上漲概率爲50%。中小盤指數的上漲概率略高,但若調整,跌幅可能略高於大盤指數。從近十年主要指數歷次下跌的均值來看,在全國兩會前五個交易日,市場即使調整,整體的調整幅度或較爲有限,階段調整或爲後期佈局創造較好的機會。
海通證券認爲,當前無論是A股還是港股,都正在面臨做多與兌現情緒相互交織的局面,兩種情緒或將繼續爭奪定價權,後市行情可能以震盪爲主。從科技行情體現出的強韌性來看,可繼續保持關注。但如果科技擁擠度依舊過高,且成交額下滑明顯,題材可能出現切換及短期降溫壓力。配置上,優先關注新啓動的相關品種,如一體機、消費等。
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