5分鐘巨震40%,光線傳媒已炒崩?遊資機構瘋狂出貨
今日,影視巨頭光線傳媒上演驚魂一幕,股價在短短5分鐘內上演“準天地板”,從20cm漲停到一度逼近跌停,振幅接近40%。
截至發稿,光線傳媒跌超148%,報29.81元,成交額達204億元,市值跌破900億。。

值得注意的是,自《哪吒2》上映,光線傳媒股價表現強勢,此前走出8天6板,開年以來累計漲幅超264%,市值暴增約720億元,總市值一度突破千億大關,創下影視股歷史紀錄。

對此,2月14日上午,光線傳媒董事長王長田在微博發文稱:百尺竿頭,還有好多步。
然而,今日的巨震行情無疑給市場潑了一盆冷水。
對於今日股價巨震,市場分析人士認爲,可能與以下因素有關:
1、短期漲幅過大,獲利盤兌現利潤。
上週光線傳媒股價漲幅過大,短期內積累了大量的獲利盤,今日部分資金選擇獲利了結,導致股價承壓。
2、影視行業整體調整。
今日影視院線板塊盤初走低、集體調整,橫店影視一度觸及跌停,華誼兄弟、萬達電影、博納影業、華策影視均大幅下挫。板塊整體走弱也對光線傳媒股價形成拖累。

3、市場情緒波動。
近期市場情緒波動較大,部分資金風險偏好下降,選擇撤離前期漲幅較大的個股,轉向防禦性板塊。
遊資、機構出貨,散戶接盤
資金方面,在這波暴漲行情中,有一家遊資瘋狂出貨。
據統計,在2月6日至2月14日的6個交易日中,中信證券北京建外大街營業部累計賣出光線傳媒股票22.38億元,成爲本輪行情中最大的“空頭”。
該營業部是市場知名的遊資席位,其操作風格以短線快進快出爲主,此次大規模出貨,無疑對光線傳媒股價形成巨大壓力。
2月14日龍虎榜數據顯示,機構和遊資席位幾乎全部出現在賣出榜單,而買入榜單則被散戶席位佔據。 這表明,在遊資和機構紛紛獲利了結的同時,散戶成爲了接盤的主力軍。

財務數據方面,從2019年至2023年,光線傳媒的營收規模“先降後升”,先從28.29億元震盪下降至7.549億元,再回升至15.46億元;其中2021年、2022年歸屬淨利潤髮生虧損。
2024年前三季度,光線傳媒的營收爲14.42億元,同比增長53.37%;歸屬淨利潤爲4.609億元,同比增長25.08%。
由於《哪吒2》影片表現大超預期,部分券商分析師發表樂觀觀點。
羣益證券分析師調整了光線傳媒的業績預測,預計該公司2024年-2026年淨利潤分別爲4.06億元、13.86億元、13.77億元(此前預測爲4.96億元、11.29億元、13.41億元。)
對於光線傳媒後市走勢,市場觀點分歧較大。
部分投資者認爲,今日巨震是短期調整,公司基本面良好,長期依然看好;也有投資者認爲,股價短期漲幅過大,估值偏高,存在回調風險。
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