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KEEP(03650.HK)兩週累升近50%,機構看好AI戰略,被指美圖、多鄰國後下一個垂類AI應用
格隆匯 02-17 11:01

2月17日,KEEP(03650.HK)一度升超12%,月內股價已累升近五成。截至發稿,升11.22%,報8.03港元,成交額1.36億港元。

消息面上,近日,Keep 創始人王寧發佈全員信宣佈要All in AI、發展以數據為核心的硬件生態、KEEP品牌走進更多的運動場景,及拓展全球化版圖。同時,KEEP正加速推進AI佈局。Keep去年已在海外上線FitPulse、Gogogola、CalCut等多款AI應用,內容 100%AI 生成,服務運動領域不同細分需求的用户。據悉,2025年Keep將對App 8.0版本再一次升級迭代,在4月會推出帶有AI Coach的內測版,並於後期上線全新9.0 AI 版本。

行業人士認為,DeepSeek此番爆火,為不少有望被AI改造的應用與服務,帶來了想象空間。站在"萬物皆可AI"的時代起點,單一的服務關係已無法滿足用户的體驗需求,只有給出更大的體驗驚喜,才是聚攏流量的王牌。

上市公司在戰略、業務層面的進階,帶來了資本市場新的反饋。受此消息鼓舞,Keep當日股價升超30%,次日盤中再升逾20%。

機構也紛紛給出消息。國信證券在《國信證券-社會服務-行業快評:社會服務行業點評-國產AI大模型迎突破進展,社服板塊應用落地場景多元可期》報吿指出,模型開源,對垂直領域企業而言具有可得性。

在教育領域,國信證券以多鄰國的AI應用為例指出,多鄰國通過發明半衰期迴歸(HLR)算法,分析數百萬語言學習者的錯誤模式預測單詞在學習者長期記憶中的半衰期,依此確定練習時機、挑選薄弱單詞,同時將每次測試的正確率維繫在約80%,進而優化課程供給。

效果也是顯著的,2024年第三季度,多鄰國收入2.1億美元,同比增長38%,其中訂閲收入1.76億美元,增長 45%,日活躍用户(DAU)3720萬,較去年同期增長 54%,月活躍用户(MAU)1.131億,較去年同期增長 36%。資本市場的反饋則更加直觀。過去兩年,多鄰國股價大升 超400%,目前總市值逼近180億美元。

國信證券認為,得益於垂直領域大數據儲備,頭部線上消費平台是AI應用落地的重要場景之一,目前整體尚處於發展初期階段,近兩年龍頭佈局有所加速。報吿梳理了這一落地方向的幾個重點標的,包含美團、攜程集團、同程旅行以及運動領域的Keep。

事實上,Keep與多鄰國的應用場景極為類似,Keep與用户所處的就是"教"與"學"的服務場景。而多鄰國要幫助學生達成更優的學習效果,Keep則是要通過提供更精準的運動方案,給用户達成更有的"訓練效果"。

這也意味着,多鄰國的成功路徑,完全可能在Keep身上得到複用。一旦Keep接入DeepSeek等大模型,或與其產生深度合作,則將成為商業化AI應用的下一個受益者。

國泰君安則發佈Keep AI 戰略點評報吿,對標美圖公司看好Keep AI發展潛力與前景,維持增持評級。

報吿表示,據美圖公吿,得益於AI 驅動的核心業務收入快速增長,2024年美圖經調整淨利預計增 52-60%;同時,2024H1超1081萬的付費訂閲用户創歷史新高。

國泰君安報吿認為,Keep公司同樣聚焦垂類場景,數據聚焦運動,有足夠的規模性、全面性和複合性;同時,強有力數據資產在 AI 應用的背景下將進一步盤活、形成良性循環。此外,公司不斷強化現有產品矩陣、拓展會員專屬內容、擴大線下活動範圍,傳統業務亦優秀。

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