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A股收評:三大指數均跌逾1.6%,全市場超4600股下跌

12月31日,今日A股2024年行情收官,主要指數今日震盪下行,尾盤持續走低;截至收盤,滬指跌1.63%報3351點,今年累升12.67%;深證成指跌2.4%,今年累升9.34%;創業板指跌2.93%,今年累升13.23%。全天成交1.36萬億元,較前一交易日增量701億元,全市場超4600股下跌。

盤面上,銅纜高速連接板塊重挫,露笑科技等多股跌停;半導體板塊走低,華為海思、AI芯片及存儲芯片等方向領跌,慧博雲通跌超10%;證券板塊下挫,信達證券等多股跌逾6%;CPO概念走弱,華西股份跌停;混合現實、6G概念及智能穿戴等板塊跌幅居前。另外,培育鑽石板塊逆市走高,東百集團升停;燃氣板塊震盪走高,長春燃氣、貴州燃氣雙雙升停;釀酒板塊、珠寶首飾等少數幾個板塊上升。

具體來看:

燃氣股表現活躍,長春燃氣、貴州燃氣升停,凱添燃氣升超14%,水發燃氣、東方環宇、德龍匯能等跟升。

受新一輪極寒天氣將襲擊美國東海岸影響,隔夜美國天然氣期貨價格大幅飆升,盤中一度大升24%,創近三年最大升幅。美國國家氣象局在其最新的8—14天天氣展望中預測,一股極地渦旋正在向南和向東推進,這可能給美國帶來創紀錄的寒流。

培育鑽石板塊逆勢走強,惠豐鑽石升超18%,力量鑽石、黃河旋風升超7%,潮宏基、四方達、曼卡龍等跟升。

中信證券表示,近期國家加強對人造金剛石相關產品和技術的出口限制,凸顯其戰略屬性,從基本面角度看,培育鑽石的市場在逐步擴大且應用場景不斷拓展,其中在芯片襯底、熱沉、電子封裝、光學窗口等領域的應用潛力有望帶給行業新的活力,看好遠期需求。

白酒板塊展開反彈,皇台酒業升停,巖石股份、天佑德酒、古井貢酒、今世緣跟升。

東興證券表示,白酒上市企業對現金分紅的重視程度加強,提振市場對企業的市值信心。當前處於渠道繼續清庫存中,酒企紛紛開始對接下來的春節旺季銷售做佈局,明年的春節將成為檢驗行業需求復甦的重要時間窗口。

零售股衝高回落,走勢分化,中百集團、東百集團、友好集團升停,友阿股份、永輝超市跌超6%,華聯股份、大商股份跟跌。

消息面上,商務部30日召開零售業創新提升工程推進視頻會, 會議要求,各地商務部門要把零售業創新提升工程,作為全方位擴大國內需求、實施提振消費專項行動、暢通經濟循環、降低全社會物流成本的重要抓手。天風證券表示,消費板塊投資的核心因子是估值,成長投資的核心因素是產業趨勢。在當前消費板塊低估值、利率下行、政策催化下復甦週期抬頭,三大核心條件都適宜的背景下,對消費成為2025年一大投資主線不悲觀。

銅纜高速連接板塊重挫,露笑科技、鑫科材料、得潤電子、博威合金等多股跌停。

券商股跌幅集體大跌,華林證券、信達證券、國盛金控等跌超6%,紅塔證券、首創證券、太平洋等跟隨下挫。

展望後市,招商證券指出,2025年隨着新一輪寬貨幣+寬財政組合拳的推進,在低基數和盈利週期的作用下,預計A股盈利震盪修復,2024年年底及2025年A股盈利有望邊際改善。盈利增速相對較高的板塊預計主要集中在消費服務、信息技術、中游製造等領域。行業層面,關注科技創新、擴大內需、供給側改革三條線索,重點關注電子、傳媒、國防軍工、家電、機械設備等行業。

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