茅台神話破滅?股價跌破1300元創2022年新低,這些“頂流”已清倉
今日白酒板塊再度大幅調整。貴州茅台股價自上週盤中跌破1300元整數關口,今日繼續下挫,連續3天下跌,五糧液、山西汾酒等股價也都創出了階段性新低。
截止收盤,貴州茅台跌2.85%至1266.9元,創2022年10月以來新低。年內累跌超25%,市值跌破1.6萬億元,跌至A股第4位。

今日酒價數據顯示,9月18日,2024年飛天茅台(原)53度/500ml批發價為2500元/瓶,較昨日持平;2024年飛天(散)53度/500ml價格報2365元/瓶,較昨日下跌15元。

“旺季不旺”,白酒銷售遇冷
中秋、國慶雙節,本該是白酒消費的傳統旺季,今年的市場表現卻令人失望。
多地酒商反映動銷不佳,白酒市場消費熱情明顯減弱。據業內人士透露,高端白酒及各價位段產品的銷售均不及預期,整體市場消費量可能下滑30%。
中國酒業協會公佈的《2024中國白酒市場中期研究報吿》顯示,80%的受訪白酒企業表示市場有所遇冷。
有酒商認為,今年中秋的中國白酒市場是近十年來最冷的,一方面下游零售渠道擔心價格波動,囤貨意願不強;另一方面,原本的用酒大户——企業的禮贈、福利等需求萎縮,導致團購業務受到影響。
實際上,近兩年白酒“金九銀十”逐漸式微是不爭的事實,且隨着行業進入調整期,白酒旺季不旺形勢愈發嚴峻。不過今年中秋的“冷淡”顯然超出行業預期。
這些基金悄悄減倉
近年來公募基金對貴州茅台的持股比例下降幅度並不大。數據顯示,公募基金對貴州茅台持股比例在2022年的三季度末高達7.6%,隨後便逐季度緩緩下降。

截至今年二季度末,貴州茅台被1896家基金持有,共計持有8544萬股,持股比例約為6.8%,較去年末的8515萬股相比略微減少。

數據顯示,多位知名基金經理在二季度減倉貴州茅台,可以窺得資金對“A股信仰”的後市觀點出現了分歧。
如銀華基金的焦巍,雖然他旗下多隻產品截至二季度末尚持有貴州茅台,但他的代表作—銀華富裕主題A(上期重倉)重倉股名單中不見其蹤影,且從全部持股名單來看該股已被其清倉。
此外,蕭楠的易方達高質量嚴選三年持有、勞傑男的匯添富價值精選A、王崇與張雪蓉的交銀精選等,貴州茅台在這些基金的十大重倉股名單中已不見蹤影。

2024年二季報減持貴州茅台公募基金TOP10
但也有一些基金產品在逆勢增持貴州茅台。
如易方達新收益A二季度內增持13.68萬股貴州茅台,將其買至第四大重倉股;平安中證A50ETF、摩根中證A50ETF、銀華中證A50ETF、易方達中證A50ETF、工銀中證A50ETF、富國中證A50ETF皆增持,將茅台買至第一大重倉股;圓信永豐興諾一年持有、圓信永豐優加生活、前海開源滬港深優勢精選等產品二季度均有加倉。

2024年二季報增持貴州茅台公募基金TOP10
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