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大行评级|花旗:下调药明生物目标价至30港元 下调今年至2026年收入及纯利预期

花旗发表研究报吿指,药明生物海外产能提升速度较预期慢,其管理层维持今年总收入增长5%至10%以及经调整纯利类增幅相若的目标,这是基于一笔预期在下半年的药物发现费用逾5亿元、产能使用率提高,以及药明生物精益运营管理系统(WBS)。管理层计划资本支出为48亿元,料今年可录得自由现金流正值。管理层预期到,在2027年有40%的制造产能会在北美、欧洲及新加坡,爱尔兰厂房会因为技术问题而令到收支平衡稍延至2025年上半年,2026年可稳定经营。

该行考虑到新厂房工程带来的负面毛利效应和来自药明合联的溢利之少权股东权益上升,所以下调今年至2026年各年收入预期各0%、3%及7%,亦下调纯利预期各6%、11%及14%,目标价由35港元降至30港元,评级“买入”。

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