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ETF與險資成為年內主要增量資金,500億險資開始建倉

作為資本市場重要的專業機構投資者,險資運用餘額一季度同比增長10.98%,增速創下2021年下半年以來新高,達30萬億元,手握重金的險資備受市場關注。

據媒體報道,中國人壽和新華人壽共同設立的私募證券投資基金穩步建倉,已投入相當規模資金入市,並準備長期持有。今年2月28日,兩大保險巨頭中國人壽和新華保險出資500億元的鴻鵠志遠(上海)私募投資基金有限公司成立,該私募投向A股和港股上市公司股票。

2024年以來,險資舉牌熱情不減,年內達到6次,紫金保險舉牌華光環能,長城人壽舉牌無錫銀行、江南水務、城發環境、秦港股份(H)、贛粵高速。

險資舉牌涉及電力設備、銀行、環保、交通運輸四個行業。從行業和個股特徵來看,被舉牌方具有高ROE、高分紅、高股息等特點,契合險資風格,凸顯耐心資本與價值投資屬性。

據中保協披露不完全統計,2021-2023年,險資年度舉牌次數分別為1、6、14次,舉牌熱情有上升趨勢。

從資金面看,今年市場主導資金髮生重要變化,ETF與保險成為最重要的增量,主動偏股基金、私募、兩融等增量不足。

增量資金決定市場風格,2017-2019年,“跟着外資買茅台”超額收益極為顯著;2020-2021,公募爆發增長,內資定價權反超外資,“茅指數”、“寧組合”崛起;2021-2023 年,私募帶來小票的跑贏。

今年增量資金並非“雨露均沾”,ETF和險資是今年重要的邊際增量資金,大盤龍頭、核心資產形成統一戰線。

興業證券研報指出,年初以來,保險公司保費收入維持兩位數增長,支撐險資運用餘額Q1同比高增10.98%,且餘額增速創下2021年下半年以來新高;2024年一季度,險資對股票、基金持有市值增長超千億 ,達1162.74億。

與此同時,興業證券數據顯示,險資權益倉位仍處於歷史低位,截至2024年一季度末,股票和基金合計佔比僅12.02%。

險資持倉主要聚焦於千億以上的大市值個股,今年一季度加倉也聚焦於各行業的大市值龍頭,包括貴州茅台、立訊精密、中國電信、浙商銀行等。

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