貴州茅台下跌,6月有資金在抄底酒ETF
貴州茅台今日早盤跌超2%,創近一年半以來的新低。午後盤面拉昇,貴州茅台尾盤一度翻紅,截至收盤,貴州茅台報收於1555元/股,今日升跌幅0%,市值1.95萬億。

5月8日以來,茅台股價跌超12%,市值蒸發2700億,相當於跌掉2.5個青島啤酒的總市值。
茅台酒價殺跌的導火索是,端午期間,茅台黃牛黨突然集體反水。
4月以來飛天茅台批發價格持續下跌;近期618電商購物節期間又發生“黃茅起義”等風波事件。
據今日酒價早上披露的最新參考價顯示:飛天茅台散瓶批發參考價從前一日的2420元下跌至2230元,單日跌近兩百元。原箱的飛天茅台的批發參考價也從前一日2695元/瓶跌至2550元/瓶,單日跌超百元,下跌速度較前幾日加快。
據報道有多位飛天茅台酒黃牛黨表示,由於這幾日價格不穩,他們已暫時停止回收飛天茅台。
有酒商表示,電商們618大促推出的百億補貼,對飛天茅台終端價格帶來的衝擊最大,本身飛天茅台終端市場價格存在的泡沫較大,在市場白酒消費市場疲軟下,相比其他白酒產品,更容易受到影響。
圈內還在流傳“幹翻”茅台的是摜蛋,有人認為摜蛋的興起打擊了白酒的銷量,現在是吃飯不摜蛋,等於不吃飯。
貴州茅台證券部工作人員表示,公司一直關注股價和酒價變動,目前生產經營均正常,至於是否有應對措施不方便迴應,但是請股東相信公司。
針對茅台這輪猝不及防的快速下跌,茅台股東、知名投資人段永平一如既往的風輕雲淡。他在社交平台回覆網友稱:
喜歡喝茅台的人不會因為市場價跌了就不喝茅台了,但目前可能商務活動活躍度有點下降,所以喝少了?喜歡茅台公司的人,股價越低應該是越開心的。

但斌出大招,再度發文提及“建議茅台拆股”。但斌稱,美股的拆股和回購註銷文化助推了企業市值增長,那些反對茅台拆股的部分茅粉,真不知是怎麼想的?現在茅台不斷下跌又哀嚎,明明有成熟市場通行的好辦法就是不用,還好像自視甚高,也真是莫名其妙、不可理喻…但斌以博通公司股價為例,第二財季業績超預期並上調全財年業績指引,同時宣佈“1拆10”拆股計劃,盤後升14.75%。

在今年貴州茅台2023年度股東大會上,前海開源基金首席經濟學家楊德龍曾當面向貴州茅台管理層提出拆股的建議,但遭到在場眾多股東的反對,公司管理層未迴應此提議。
白酒股本週下跌,從ETF基金看,截至6月14日,鵬華基金酒ETF本週跌超3%,本月跌超4%;天弘基金飲食ETF、華安基金食品飲料ETF基金、招商基金食品飲料ETF、銀華基金食品ETF、華夏基金食品飲料ETF、華寶基金食品ETF本週跌超2%,本月跌超3%。

白酒下跌中,有資金在借道ETF抄底,截至6月13日,鵬華基金酒ETF在6月“吸金”超7億。

對於白酒板塊,銀河證券認為茅台批發價格的下跌更多是一個去金融屬性的過程,而茅台以下白酒產品價格穩定,有足夠的消費需求支撐。從行業週期來看我們認為至少頭部品牌已走過至暗時刻;從行業集中度持續提升的中期趨勢判斷頭部品牌業績增長確定性較強。茅台批發價格下跌引起白酒板塊股價回調,目前具備α屬性的公司估值已低。
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