寧德時代大跌，電池龍頭ETF跌逾3%
今日A股高開低走，德時代盤中一度大跌8%，截止發稿跌幅收窄為5.7%，國軒高科跌2.4%
受此影響，華安基金新能源50ETF、興銀基金電池龍頭ETF、易方達基金儲能電池ETF等均跌逾3%。
今日新能源板塊的表現受到一些負面消息的擾動。從電池產業的最新基本面來看，2023年鋰電板塊受益於下游新能源車銷量的迅猛增長，整體營業收入達到12904.63億元，同比增長2.67%，電池企業盈利能力相對更具優勢，但今年一季度由於春節假期、板塊低谷等外部因素擾動下市場需求較為疲軟。
同時，由於競爭加劇，需求持續弱勢下，盈利空間被壓縮，電池板塊今年一季度整體毛利率為19.48%。
從公募基金持股比例來看，公募機構今年一季度減持電池板塊，2024Q1板塊持倉下跌至3.78%，較2023Q4年下降5.24%。
目前A股有多隻新能源相關的ETF產品，如新能源主題ETF、儲能電池主題ETF以及電池主題ETF，目前最市場規模最大的是南方基金新能源ETF，最新規模是55.41億元，廣發基金電池ETF的規模為電池ETF，前者跟蹤的指數名稱是中證新能。
中證指數官網顯示，中證新能源指數選取涉及可再生能源生產、新能源應用、新能源存儲以及新能源交互設備等業務的上市公司證券作為指數樣本，以反映新能源產業相關上市公司證券的整體表現。
從中證新能指數前十大權重股來看，中證新能指數的第一大權重股是寧德時代，權重佔比為13.49%，第二大權重股是隆基綠能，佔比為5.76%。
儘管今日關於寧德時代的傳聞對投資情緒有一定的負面影響，但是寧德時代憑藉過硬的技術實力，其產品在全球的份額不斷提升。
據韓國市場調研機構SNE Research於5日發佈的一組數據，今年前4個月，韓系動力電池全球市場裝車量佔有率同比下降2.4個百分點，為22.8%。同期，全球市場的動力電池裝車量同比增長21.8%，為216.2吉瓦時。寧德時代增長30%，為81.4吉瓦時，穩居榜首，其全球市佔率超過37.7%。
從產業的發展來看，5月8日，工信部發布《鋰電池行業規範條件（2024年本）》（徵求意見稿），旨在引導行業規劃發展，不具有行政審批前置性和強制性。在產業佈局方面，文件強調企業應減少單純擴大產能的製造項目，轉向技術創新和降本增質方面。
興業證券認為，該文件主要考核鋰電各環節產品性能、製造工藝、產能利用率和能耗等方面，一二線廠商基本可以滿足，但三四線小廠在研發投入、製造工藝和產品性能滿足標準的可能性較低，產能有望出清加速，行業集中度有望進一步提高。
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