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AI會替代人嗎? 第四範式戴文淵:別擔心AI,而是使用AI的人
格隆匯 06-03 08:24

近日,“AI 大神”、第四範式公司創始人、CEO 戴文淵做客格隆匯高端訪談《格隆博士會客廳》,戴文淵分享了一些AI對人類社會影響的看法。

很多人把AI定性為繼蒸汽機革命、計算機革、互聯網革命之後,包括電氣革命之後第四次科技革命,認為它將徹底的改變世界和我們整個人類的生活。

戴文淵表示,我覺得至少在我能看到的有限時間裏,大家需要擔心的不是AI替代人的問題,就是所謂的硅基生命替代碳基生命,我覺得這不是最大的(問題)。大家需要擔心的是,你和你的同行競爭的時候,會不會因為別人用了AI工具,你就競爭失敗了。

這在很早時候就已經在潛移默化地發生。有統計顯示,當谷歌出現了以後,人的平均的記憶力都在下降。

過去我們需要記很多東西,當有了搜索引擎,就不需要記那麼多東西了。

有腦科學家研究過,為什麼記憶力會下降?因為大腦的不同腦細胞,既可以拿來做記憶,也可以拿來做推理,當不需要記那麼多東西的時候,大腦就拿來做更多的推理。

現在其實又是一輪新的變化,很可能人又要重新分配自己的腦細胞,可能那些 ChatGPT 能幹的事情儘量不要自己幹了,讓自己的大腦去幹一點 ChatGPT 幹不了的事情。

戴文淵並不認為AI現在是一個替代人的過程。

比方説,像推薦引擎這樣的AI技術,也不能離開人來做。

它的區別在於原來要實現一個像今日頭條的應用,如果不依賴於AI,可能需要幾百萬、上千萬的人來實現。

基於AI的話,大幅提升了效率,一個人能幹過去1000萬個人能幹的事情。但這並不代表帶來了1000萬的人的失業,我們應該讓這1000萬個人去幹原來1000萬倍的事情。

這樣是生產力的提升,這個可能未來一個很大的主旋律。其實過去的20年都在潛移默化的發生,只是過去20年沒有那麼大的心理上的衝擊,而現在這個變化讓大家感受到了一些衝擊。

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