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新能源賽道集體走強,電池ETF、鋰電池ETF升超4%

新能源賽道集體走強,鋰電池板塊領升,招商基金電池ETF、富國基金鋰電池ETF、工銀瑞信基金鋰電池ETF升超4%,匯添富基金電池50ETF、嘉實基金電池ETF基金、建信基金新能源車電池ETF、興銀基金電池龍頭ETF、廣發基金電池ETF、景順長城基金電池30ETF、易方達基金儲能電池ETF升超3.5%。

招商基金電池ETF、匯添富基金電池50ETF、富國基金鋰電池ETF、嘉實基金電池ETF基金跟蹤的是中證電池主題指數。中證電池主題指數選取業務涉及動力電池、儲能電池、消費電子電池以及相關產業鏈上下游的上市公司證券作為指數樣本,以反映電池主題上市公司證券的整體表現,成分股包括寧德時代、陽光電源、三花智能、億緯鋰能、格林美、天賜材料等。

廣發基金電池ETF、建信基金新能源車電池ETF、工銀瑞信鋰電池ETF、興銀基金電池龍頭ETF、景順長城電池30ETF跟蹤的是國證新能源車電池指數,指數從滬深市場中選取30只新能源車電池公司股票,反映新能源車電池領域上市公司的表現,成分股包括寧德時代、比亞迪、三花智能、億緯鋰能、格林美、天賜材料等。

鋰電池板塊上升,消息面上,5月8日,工信部公開徵求對鋰電池行業規範條件及公吿管理辦法(徵求意見稿)的意見。

本次工信部形成的《鋰電池行業規範條件(2024年本)》《鋰電池行業規範公吿管理辦法(2024年本)》(徵求意見稿),是對《鋰離子電池行業規範條件(2021年本)》《鋰離子電池行業規範公吿管理辦法(2021年本)》進行修訂,是鼓勵和引導行業技術進步和規範發展的引導性文件。目的是為加強鋰電池行業規範管理,引導產業加快轉型升級和結構調整,推動我國鋰電池產業健康發展。《規範條件》指出,引導企業減少單純擴大產能的製造項目,加強技術創新、提高產品質量、降低生產成本。

東莞證券研報指出,在當前鋰電池行業產能過剩背景下,工信部對行業規範條件進行修訂,引導技術創新、轉型升級,推動高質量健康發展。將加快落後產能出清,防止低價無序競爭,有利於擁有技術優勢和優質產能的頭部企業產能利用率提升和盈利修復。修訂稿注重產品質量和低碳環保,為企業出海做積極鋪墊,有利於提高企業國際競爭力。整體利好頭部企業。

從業績看,在動力電池龍頭廠商中,2023年,寧德時代實現營業收入4009.17億元,同比增長22.01%,歸母淨利潤441.21億元,同比增長43.58%;國軒高科營業收入達到316.05億元,同比增長37.11%,歸母淨利潤為9.39億元,同比增長201.28%;中創新航營收約為270.06億元,歸母淨利潤為2.94億元;億緯鋰能實現營業收入487.84億元,同比增長34.38%,歸母淨利潤為40.5億元,同比增長15.42%;欣旺達營業收入同比下降8.24%至478.62億元,歸母淨利潤達到10.76億元,同比上升0.77%。

從基金持倉看,鋰電超配幅度有所上升。根據申萬二級行業分類來看,申萬鋰電行業共計48家上市公司進入重倉持股名單。截至2024年3月31日,申萬二級鋰電行業公司市值合計為19142.94億元,環比2023Q4下降2.87%,A股總市值為880727.39億元,環比2023Q4上升0.47%。2024年年初以來,行業整體供大於求格局尚未反轉,板塊的盈利能力仍處於底部,因此鋰電板塊市值整體表現弱於全行業平均水平。

截至2024年3月31日,基金全行業持倉市值為18447.50億元,環比下降5.46%,基金鋰電板塊持倉市值為903.70億元,環比上升5.82%,佔基金全行業持倉市值的比例為4.90%,環比+0.52pcts。鋰電板塊市值佔A股總市值的2.17%,環比-0.07pcts,相較於基金鋰電持倉市值佔基金全行業持倉市值的比例,鋰電持倉仍處在超配水平,超配幅度回升至2.73%,環比+0.60pcts。

存量方面,寧德時代是2024Q1公募基金的主要持倉對象。從前十名基金持倉市值企業數據來看,總體格局較為穩定,寧德時代繼續名列第一,基金持倉市值達到580.06億元,億緯鋰能、科達利、璞泰來、天賜材料位居二到五位。與2023Q4相比,欣旺達與國軒高科排名小幅提升,躋身前十名。

從持股基金數的角度看,持有寧德時代的基金數量最多,達到1150家,其次為億緯鋰能、新宙邦、科達利和天賜材料。

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