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US Treasury Cheat Sheet,Bond Prices/Yields and the Relationship with the US Dollar
uSMART盈立智投 04-25 18:22

What are US Treasuries?

US Treasuries refer to the bonds issued by the US government, also known as US Treasury Bonds. The US government issues bonds to raise funds to meet the country's fiscal needs, including government expenditures and debt repayment.

 

What are the types of US Treasuries?

US Treasuries can be classified into short-term, medium-term, and long-term transferable bonds. They include Treasury Bills, Treasury Notes, Treasury Bonds, and Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS). These bonds differ in terms of their maturity periods and issuance frequencies. Additionally, there are also non-transferable bonds.

 

Comparison of Types of US Treasuries

Bond Categories

Treasury Bills

Treasury Notes , T-Note

Treasury Bonds , T-Bond

Time

Short-term

≤ 1 year

Medium-term

2-10 years

Long-term

10-30 years

Maturity Period

4 weeks, 13 weeks, 26 weeks, 52 weeks

2 years, 3 years, 5 years, 7 years, 10 years

10 years, 20 years, 30 years

Issuance Frequency

Issued weekly

Issued monthly

Issued monthly

Source of Profit/Income

You are sending and receiving too many words in a short period of time.

Purchased at face value and receiving fixed interest (coupon) at regular intervals. Receive the final interest payment and principal at maturity.

Bond Features

Short-term maturity, lower risk, high liquidity.

Medium-term maturity, relatively safe risk profile.

Long-term maturity, highest risk.

 

Advantages and Disadvantages of Buying US Treasuries

Advantages and Disadvantages of Buying US Treasuries

Advantages

 Low Risk

Bonds generally have lower risk compared to stocks, and US Treasuries are considered among the safest investments. The US government is regarded as one of the most reliable debtors with strong repayment ability, resulting in relatively low credit risk.

Stable Income

US Treasuries offer fixed interest payments backed by the US government, providing a higher level of repayment reliability. Holding US Treasuries can provide relatively stable income, especially for investors seeking fixed income and adopting conservative investment strategies.

High Liquidity

The US Treasury market is one of the largest and most active bond markets globally. US Treasuries have broad global acceptance and high trading volumes, making buying and selling relatively easy.

 Principal Repayment at Maturity

 When purchasing bonds, the principal is returned at maturity in addition to receiving interest payments throughout the bond's term.

Hedge Asset

In uncertain economic environments, US Treasuries are often considered as hedge assets due to their tendency to exhibit relatively stable prices during market turbulence.

Disadvantages

Low Return

Compared to other higher-risk assets, US Treasuries generally offer lower returns. Due to their lower risk level, US Treasuries often have more conservative interest rates, which may not provide high returns compared to other investment opportunities.

Inflation

If inflation increases, countries may face pressure to raise interest rates, leading to decreased bond yields. This can be unfavorable for bond investments.

Interest Rate Risk

Bond prices tend to rise when interest rates decline, and vice versa. Therefore, purchasing bonds entails the risk of paying a higher price if interest rates decrease.

Currency Risk

Like stocks and other foreign investment assets, US Treasuries are exposed to currency risk. Exchange rates are influenced by various factors, including market conditions, geopolitical events, and economic shocks, thereby introducing a certain level of risk.

 

How to buy US Treasury bonds?

  1. Through a broker or dealer:Investors can purchase US Treasury bonds through a regulated broker or dealer. Choose a reputable broker or dealer, open a securities account, and contact them to understand the specific steps and requirements for buying US Treasury bonds. Brokers or dealers typically provide online platforms or phone trading to execute transactions.
  2. Fund/ETF investment:Investors can buy funds invested in US Treasury bonds, such as Treasury bond index funds or bond funds. These funds are managed by professional fund managers, and investors can purchase fund shares through their securities accounts. Fund investments provide a convenient way to diversify investments across various US Treasury bonds.

 

Bond Price and Yield

  • Bond Price

Bond price refers to the price of a bond in the market. The price of a bond is influenced by various factors, including market interest rates, bond maturity, coupon rate, bond type, and market demand.

 

Generally, bond prices have an inverse relationship with market interest rates. When market interest rates rise, newly issued bonds typically have higher rates compared to existing bonds with lower rates, resulting in a decrease in the prices of existing bonds. Conversely, when market interest rates decline, the prices of existing bonds usually rise because they have higher rates and are more attractive compared to newly issued bonds with lower rates.

 

In addition, bond maturity can also affect bond prices. Generally, long-term bonds are more susceptible to market interest rate fluctuations because they have longer repayment and interest payment periods, which entail higher risks. In contrast, the prices of short-term bonds tend to have smaller fluctuations. Different types of bonds have different risk and return characteristics, so market demand for different types of bonds also affects their prices. If there is higher demand for a certain type of bond in the market, its price may rise; conversely, if market demand is low, the price may decline.

 

It is important to note that bond prices are usually expressed as a percentage, such as a percentage of the bond's face value. If a bond price is 100%, it means purchasing the bond at its face value; if the bond price is 105%, it means purchasing it at 105% of its face value.

 

  • Bond Yield

Bond yield refers to the interest income paid by a bond. When investors buy a bond, they effectively lend funds to the bond issuer (such as a government, corporation, or other entity), and in return, the issuer pays them a certain amount of interest according to the agreed-upon terms.

 

Bond interest is typically expressed as an annual interest rate and paid to bondholders at fixed intervals, such as annually, semi-annually, or quarterly. The amount of interest payment is determined based on the bond's face value and interest rate. For example, if a bond has a face value of $1,000 and a 5% annual interest rate with interest paid annually, the investor will receive $50 of interest income each year.

 

Bond interest income is attractive to investors, especially those seeking stable income. Interest income can serve as a part of the return on bond investments, in addition to relying on changes in bond prices in the market.

 

In general, if market interest rates rise, newly issued bonds typically have higher rates compared to existing bonds with lower rates, which may result in relatively reduced interest income for existing bonds. Conversely, if market interest rates decline, the interest income for existing bonds may relatively increase. Additionally, bond interest income may be subject to taxation. In some cases, bond interest income may be subject to income tax. Investors should understand the tax regulations in their country or region and consider tax factors before investing in bonds.

 

It is important to note that bond interest rates are determined at the time of bond issuance and remain fixed throughout the bond's term. Therefore, bondholders can know in advance the interest income they will receive.

 

Relationship between Bond Price, Yield, and the US Dollar

So, how do bond prices and yields relate to the US dollar? Firstly, US Treasury bonds in the bond market are usually denominated in US dollars. Therefore, changes in bond prices and interest rates can influence the demand for the US dollar and the US dollar exchange rate.

 

When bond prices rise, it indicates a decrease in bond market interest rates. This may reduce the demand for the US dollar, leading to a weaker US dollar exchange rate. If bond market interest rates decrease, other investment options' yields may become more attractive, and investors may reduce their demand for US Treasury bonds, thus reducing the demand for the US dollar. This may result in the depreciation of the US dollar relative to other currencies.

 

Conversely, when bond yields rise, it indicates that newly issued bonds have higher interest rates. This may increase the demand for the US dollar and have a positive impact on the US dollar exchange rate. Bonds with higher interest rates attract investors' purchases, thereby increasing the demand for the US dollar. This may lead to the appreciation of the US dollar relative to other currencies.

 

In summary, there is a close relationship between bond prices, yields, and the US dollar. Bond prices and yieldsrelate to the US dollar through their impact on the demand for the currency in the foreign exchange market. When bond prices rise and yields decrease, it can weaken the US dollar's exchange rate. Conversely, when bond yields rise, it can strengthen the US dollar's exchange rate.

 

It's important to note that the relationship between bond prices, yields, and the US dollar is complex and can be influenced by various factors, including economic conditions, investor sentiment, and market expectations. Changes in these factors can affect the supply and demand dynamics in the bond market and impact the US dollar exchange rate.

 

When considering investing in US Treasury bonds, it's essential to evaluate the factors affecting bond prices, yields, and the US dollar exchange rate. Monitoring economic indicators, central bank policies, and geopolitical developments can provide insights into potential trends. Consulting with a financial advisor or conducting thorough research can help investors make informed decisions regarding bond investments and their potential impact on the US dollar.

 

 

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