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全球巨震,美股七姐妹回調!納指抄底時機已到?
格隆匯 04-22 09:46

上週,全球市場巨震,美股七大科技巨頭市值合計蒸發接近萬億美元,為史上最慘一週,其中英偉達上週五一度大跌10%。原因解讀如下:

美股宏觀層面,降息預期延後,避險情緒演繹。中東衝突使得全球投資者“避險”情緒高升,疊加美聯儲偏鷹派表態,經濟越好就越不會降息,進而股市表現越差,“經濟好消息是股市壞消息”的邏輯在上週演繹的淋漓盡致。

美股科技層面,美債利率、中東局勢、個股業績疊加交易層面多重影響。英偉達上週五大跌10%,主要系擁擠交易疊加4月期權結算日,很多投機者被“清算”,而量化交易可能又加重了這一趨勢,英偉達全天被拋售,毫無還手之力。自去年AI行情啟動以來,整個板塊沒有出現過特別明顯的回調,連續上升了一年多時間。本次調整更有可能是一次健康的回調,將大量浮盈的頭寸迅速擠出,而長期資金不會輕易離開這個可能是未來十年的投資主題,接下來應該高度關注重要科技公司今年的資本開支狀況。

展望後市,對於英偉達,考慮到其在“GPU、CUDA、NVL”等多重領域的穩固地位,以及今年30倍的前瞻估值,沒有基本面利空的調整或只是短期事件。對於美股整體,此前也曾有過多次地緣政治衝突和降息預期延後,但美股市場均能快速收復失地,事後來看反而是為數不多的交易窗口。目前美國經濟的韌性毋庸置疑,本週開始美股財報季進入高峯,美國科技股依然是投資者們需要關注的重點,微軟、Meta、谷歌、特斯拉等頭部公司本週披露的業績如果能持續符合甚至超市場預期,將有效支撐市場表現,美股市場有望迎來新一輪上升。

看好美股的投資者可關注天弘標普500(C類:007722)、天弘納斯達克100指數(C類:018044)。市場有風險,投資需謹慎,以上個股僅作客觀展示,不做個股推薦。

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