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光模塊板塊大升,通信ETF升超3%

午後,光模塊板塊繼續衝高,天孚通信升超12%,再次刷新歷史新高,中際旭創、新易盛、光迅科技、華工科技等紛紛大幅衝高。液冷服務器概念盤中也表現活躍,飛龍股份升超6%,工業富聯升超5%。

 ETF方面,國泰基金通信ETF、銀華基金5GETF、華夏基金5G通信ETF、分別升3.09%、2.21%和2.04%。

 消息面上,英偉達連續兩日股價大升超4%。中信證券最新研報指出,英偉達近期在GTC2024上發佈的最新產品GB200,服務器與交換機端口速率翻倍,有望推動AI光模塊從800G代系向1.6T代系的需求升級同時,在OFC 2024上,單波200G、LPO、CPO等方案展現了快速的發展態勢,引起了行業內高度關注。

工信部副部長單忠德4月11日在發佈會上表示,構建工業基礎算力資源和應用能力融合體系,加快部署工業邊緣數據中心,推動“雲邊端”算力協同發展。加大高性能智算供給,在算力樞紐節點建設智算中心。

另外,4月16日至18日,2024全球6G技術大會將在南京召開。本屆大會將聚焦6G八大前沿方向,包括通信與AI融合、無線通感融合、空天地一體化、網絡架構及關鍵技術、可信與安全、高頻段無線傳輸與器件、未來業務與應用猜想、新技術新材料等。

回到板塊投資節奏來看,美股的科技股近期處於震盪盤整的狀態,截至4月5日,英偉達股價較一個月前的歷史高點下跌了11%,近期反倒是金、銅、原油等大宗商品價格持續走高,美股能源股今年的表現甚至超過了科技股。

但從前日來看,在美國3月CPI數據爆錶帶崩美股後,英偉達卻逆勢上升4%後,已經連續第二日收出4%的升幅了。在此帶動下,A股昨日相關AI板塊如AI應用端、算力等板塊開始強勢上升,也已經是連續第二日走強了,一定程度是在有一定回調基礎上的反彈。

西南證券認為,光模塊是AI最受益、確定性最高板塊。從下游需求來看,22年為800G元年,市場出貨量約為萬隻級別,23年為起步年份,24年隨着大模型廠商加速AI建設,加單意願強烈、節奏頻繁,預計需求將迎來爆發式增長。

A股跟AI板塊投資相關的ETF有多種,如通信ETF、5GETF等,規模最大的事華夏基金5G通信ETF,最新規模為68.82億元,跟蹤的是5G通信。

中證5G通信主題指數選取業務與5G建設或應用相關的上市公司證券作為指數樣本,包括但不限於5G基礎建設、終端設備以及應用場景,旨在反映5G通信主題上市公司證券的整體表現。

從前十大成份股來看,第一大權重股是立訊精密,佔比為9.14%。第二大權重股是中際旭創,佔比為8.31%。工業富聯是第四大權重股,佔比為6.82%。

萬聯證券認為,人工智能大模型帶來的算力升級,帶動服務器、數據中心、光模塊等產業的發展;運營商數字化業務及雲服務業務已經成為新的增長驅動。中長期看,建議關注衞星通信產業鏈、人工智能算力產業鏈、數字化應用及5G建設的投資機會。

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