郭思治:大市持續在反覆偏軟中待變
香港股票分析師協會副主席郭思治稱,大市暫仍持續處反覆待變之中,恆指昨(7日)早市先輕微低開21點至16,417點,其後曾略為後抽至16,512點,但由於買盤不繼,加上零碎沽壓又再滲著湧現,故整個大市卒開始反覆回落至16,136點方略見喘定,即其時恆指不但漸跌離本月1日之高位16,651點,反之卻漸跌近本月5日之低位16,095點,單從走勢上看,大市明顯是稍偏弱,恆指最後報收16,229點,較上日跌208點,全日總成交金額為980億元。
從周內之市況看,由於恆指一直反覆穿梭於50天線(約在16,158點左近),20天線(約在16,337點左近)及10天線(約在16,522點左近)等三組平均移動線之間,表示大市暫確仍持續處反覆待變之中,惟大市雖暫無法作進一步之推升,但至少仍可持續穩企於16,000點之上,即表現尚不算太差,前文已述,大市自1月22日低位14,794點開始之反彈,該有機會延續6至8周,即可伸延至3月中旬左近,惟短期後市能否如預期中再作進一步反彈,當需視乎資金之入市態度而定,同時亦需看主要恆指成份股能否再作進一步之推升,尤其是仍然反覆偏弱的騰訊(00700.HK),阿里-SW(09988.HK)及友邦(01299.HK),因此三隻股份在恆指內之成份比重共佔達23%有多。
(筆者為證監會持牌人)~
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