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理想汽車盤中大升近20%,帶動香港科技ETF、港股通科技ETF上升

格隆匯2月27日丨理想汽車交出了一份歷史最佳財務業績,受此消息拉動,理想汽車盤中一度大升近20%,帶動港股科技股上升。

興銀基金香港科技ETF、海富通基金港股通科技ETF、國泰基金港股科技ETF、鵬華基金港股科技ETF、易方達基金恒生新經濟ETF、華泰柏瑞基金港股通科技50ETF、景順長城基金港股科技50ETF上升。

2月以來,興銀基金香港科技ETF、海富通基金港股通科技ETF、國泰基金港股科技ETF、鵬華基金港股科技ETF、易方達基金恒生新經濟ETF、華泰柏瑞基金港股通科技50ETF、景順長城基金港股科技50ETF升近15%。

港股通科技ETF是跟蹤中證港股通科技指數的ETF產品,反映港股通內科技龍頭上市公司證券的整體表現。

香港科技ETF跟蹤的指數為中證港股通科技指數,該指數從港股通範圍內選取50只市值較大、研發投入較高且營收增速較好的科技龍頭上市公司證券作為指數樣本,以反映港股通內科技龍頭上市公司證券的整體表現。

港股市場包括一些沒在國內上市的互聯網龍頭公司,如美團、騰訊、小米、理想等,與A股形成良好互補。

理想汽車大升帶動港股通科技、香港科技上升,消息面上,理想汽車發佈財報,2023年第四季度總營收417.3億元,同比增136.4%;淨利潤57.5億元,同比增加2068.2%;調整後淨利潤45.9億元,同比增374.2%。2023年全年營收超1200億元,成為國內首家營收突破千億元的新勢力車企;淨利潤118.1億元,首次實現年度盈利。理想汽車預計,第一季度交付量10萬至10.3萬輛,同比增長90.2%~95.9%;營收312.5億元至321.9億元,同比增長66.3%-71.3%。

2023年理想汽車合計完成銷量37.6萬輛,其中, L7累計交付13.4萬輛,佔總銷量的36%,其次為L8、L9,銷量分別為11.8萬輛、11.4萬輛。展望2024,方正證券認為銷量翻倍增長可期,其中,L6對標問界M7,定位30萬元以內的家庭智能豪華五座SUV,有望實現12萬輛目標,純電車型有望實現12萬輛銷量目標,MEGA定位50萬以上中大型豪華MPV市場,銷量有望實現5萬輛,理想在2024年有望帶來翻倍收入表現。展望2025,方正證券認為在純電多款車型全年爬坡帶動下,理想有望躋身百萬俱樂部。

從估值看,港股自2021年2月份起,持續快速調整,恒生科技指數期間最大回撤一度超過70%,風險得到釋放,估值也進入底部位置。

對於港股市場,天風證券表示,截止2月23日,恒指12個月前瞻PE較2019年來中位數折讓2個標準差,處於2019年來歷史分位值約5%;恒指相對MSCI全球指數前瞻PE較2019年來中位數折讓3.6個標準差,處於2019年來1.9%分位值;恒指股權風險溢價高於歷史中位數1.4個標準差,處於約82%歷史分位值。建議關注互聯網平台、新消費、新勢力標的成長價值和重估機遇,以及優質高股息標的的防禦價值。

國泰君安支出,耐心等待港股夯實底部,往前看,港股底部夯實中,中期震盪向上,紅利風格佔優。隨着國內增加經濟動能的政策繼續出台,經濟增長預期企穩;雖海外流動性大趨勢是轉寬鬆,但短期受美國通脹數據反彈的擾動,海外流動性預期出現反覆,港股成長風格受到更大的影響。此外,海外風險事件較多,包括全球多地大選,地緣政治摩擦此伏彼起,美國衰退預期或升温並擾動港股市場,具備低估值和穩定現金流等低風險特徵的高分紅風格仍是當前優選,建議關注港股低風險特徵的紅利資產,如通信運營商、能源和公用事業等。此外,年中成長股的行情將出現,新能源板塊將率先啟動,行情重點在科技製造。

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