大新料港失業率首季維持略低於3%
大新金融集團首席經濟及策略師溫嘉煒表示,香港去年11至今年1月平均失業率維持2.9%,連續四個月相同,符合該行預期,略低於市場預期的3%。總勞動人口減少12,800人,為八個月新低,就業人數亦減少9,800人,兩者均連跌四個月。主要行業失業率普遍變動不大,其中製造業失業率進一步下降0.6個百分點至3.3%,消費及旅遊相關行業失業率亦回落0.2個百分點至3.4%,運輸物流相關、資訊及通訊行業、金融地產等商用服務業失業率亦略為回落。另外,建造業失業率則略為回升0.2個百分點至3.9%。
該行預期,本港失業率首季有望繼續維持略低於3%。隨著訪港旅客回升,消費和旅遊相關活動保持平穩,加上政府致力牽頭籌辦大型盛事推動經濟,短期或增加餐飲零售業人手需求,相關行業失業率亦有望保持較低水平。隨著政府各項人才入境計劃的申請陸續批出,有望繼續紓緩部分行業的勞動力不足,惟能否彌補過往流失的行業工種仍有待觀察。事實上,本港就業人口過去四個月減少了2.3萬人,勞動人口參與率自疫情以來持續下試1985年有紀錄以來新低,最新為57.1%,明顯低於疫情前60%以上的水平,顯示香港在勞動力供應方面仍充滿挑戰。
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