《大行報告》高盛升標普500年底目標至5,200 上調今明兩年每股盈測
高盛發表報告,將年底標普500指數目標由5,100點上調至5,200點,較現水平有4%上升空間,主要受企業盈利預測上調所推動。該行將成分股今年每股盈利預測由237美元上調至241美元,按年有8%增長,亦高於市場預測中位數235美元,反映經濟增長較預期強勁,資訊科技及通訊行業分類的盈利較高,當中包括「科技七雄」(Magnificent 7)中的五隻股份。明年每股盈利預測由250美元上調至256美元。
報告指,差不多結束的第四季度業績公布期,反映企業在通脹緩和下,有能力維持利潤率,企業業績普遍超出預期,標普500每股盈利按年有7%增長,高於市場在業績期初預測的3%增長。「科技七雄」的基本因素持續強勁,若果英偉達(NVDA.US)的業績符合預期,「科技七雄」第四季銷售按年增長15%,盈利增長58%。相反,標普500其餘493隻成份股銷售增3%,盈利跌2%。
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