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《即日市評》內地官方製造業PMI連續四個月低於榮枯線 恆指及科指1月各累挫9%及20%
受累本港上市科網股持續弱勢,恆指今日(31日)持續向下。美聯儲將於本港時間周四(1日)凌晨將公布議息會議結果,美股道指及納指隔晚(30日)各升0.4%及跌0.8%,執筆之時,美國10年期債券孳息率跌至4.02厘,美匯指數升至103.53,道指期貨最新升47點或0.125%,納指期貨最新跌0.8%%。中國1月官方製造業PMI錄49.2(市場預期49.3)連續第四個月低於榮枯線、1月官方服務業PMI錄50.7(市場預期50.6),上證綜指全日跌41點或1.48%收2,788點,深證成指跌2%,內地創業板指數跌0.66%,而滬深兩市成交額共7,583億人民幣。 恆指今早低開51點,初段倒升40點見15,744點後再度向下,曾跌291點一度低見15,411點,全日跌218點或1.4%,收15,485點;國指跌81點或1.5%,收5,194點;恆生科技指數跌93點或3%,收3,005點。大市全日成交總額988.45億元,滬、深港通南下交易淨流入11.39億及淨流出2.81億元人民幣。 恆指1月全月累跌1,562點或9.2%、國指本月累跌574點或10%、恆生科指本月累跌758點或20%。市場憂慮中國宏觀經濟增長面臨挑戰,本月下旬人行對中國1月一年及五年期貸款市場報價利率(LPR)維持不變,市場關注內地貨幣政策放鬆走向,其後人行宣布將於2月5日下調存款準備金率0.5個百分點提供萬億人幣流動性,國資委擬引入市值管理考核等利好消息,令大市跌幅略為收窄。 【舜宇挫一成 手機設備挫】 科網股今日造淡,騰訊(00700.HK)跌1.2%,阿里-SW(09988.HK)及百度-SW(09888.HK)跌2.2%及1.9%,美團-W(03690.HK)、小米-W(01810.HK)、快手-W(01024.HK)及嗶哩嗶哩-W(09626.HK)跌3.5%至4.5%。舜宇(02382.HK)料上財年溢利按年跌逾半,全日股價挫11.7%。大華繼顯發表報告指出,舜宇發盈警,預期去年盈利按年少50%至55%,以中位數計較該行及市場普遍預期低25%及20%。該行將舜宇2023至2025年盈利預測各下調21.9%、11.4%及9.5%,至11.96億、24.47億及35.55億元人民幣,以反映該行新的出貨量預期、毛利率較低的預測及去年較高的營運費用。 蘋果(AAPL.US)分析師郭明錤指今年iPhone出貨量或顯著下跌,手機部件股高偉(01415.HK)及丘鈦(01478.HK)跌4.4%及5.5%,瑞聲(02018.HK)下挫7.7%。 【跌股千二隻 碧桂園受壓】 港股主板今日市寬續弱,主板股票的升跌比率為12比30(上日10比32),下跌股份1,261隻(跌幅3.1%);恆指成份股今日13隻股份上升,68隻股份下跌,升跌比率為16比83(上日為5比93);大市今日錄沽空170.35億元,佔可沽空股份成交額836.98億元的20.353%(上日19.834%)。 市場關注民企內房股的信貸風險,碧桂園(02007.HK)跌4.5%,合景泰富(01813.HK)下滑5.4%,物管股碧服(06098.HK)跌3.9%。本地地產股恆隆地產(00101.HK)昨(30日)股價滑落逾8%後,今日輕微回升0.3%。恆地(00012.HK)及新世界(00017.HK)跌3.1%及4%。
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