《大行報告》匯豐研究:恆指年底目標維持19,300 留意6大主題推介12隻「買入」股份
匯豐研究發表報告指,中國離岸市場連續第四年出現負回報,宏觀環境、市場波動及地緣政治因素導致去年市場和行業的回報率出現較大分散,而預期以外的政策公布亦為市場帶來風險。投資者信心疲弱、估值較低、基數較低,該行認為今年可能會出現意外上升。另一方面,雖然基金經紀保持觀望,但企業卻積極參與股票回購,去年股票回購金額創下二十年來的新高,達到超過1,000億元,反映對業務前景和具吸引力估值的信心,並向市場提供積極信號。由於預期美聯儲轉向亦將為市場提供支持,盈利增長將成為推動業績的關鍵。
匯豐研究提出6個投資主題,包括股票回購、美國緊縮政策結束、技術創新、被低估的創業板(GEM)、國企及範圍三排放(Scope 3 emissions)。該行預計離岸市場將提供更多差異化產品,有助吸引更多流動性。另外,互聯互通計劃正在擴大其產品組合,包括國債期貨和保險產品,為投資者提供更好的投資機會。
該行對今年底的恆指目標保持19,300,推介12隻「買入」股份,包括中國移動(00941.HK)、阿里巴巴(BABA.US)、攜程(TCOM.US)、銀娛(00027.HK)、金沙中國(01928.HK)、華能國際電力股份(00902.HK)、中國銀行(03988.HK)、交通銀行(03328.HK)、友邦保險(01299.HK)、小米(01810.HK)、華潤置地(01109.HK)、長江基建(01038.HK)。推介股的投資評級及目標價表列如下:
股份 | 投資評級 | 目標價
中國移動(00941.HK) | 買入 | 80元
阿里巴巴(BABA.US) | 買入 | 119美元
攜程(TCOM.US) | 買入 | 50美元
銀河娛樂(00027.HK) | 買入 | 56.5元
金沙中國有限公司(01928.HK) | 買入 | 32.5元
華能國際電力股份(00902.HK) | 買入 | 6.2元
中國銀行(03988.HK) | 買入 | 3.8元
交通銀行(03328.HK) | 買入 | 5.8元
友邦保險(01299.HK) | 買入 | 102元
小米集團-W(01810.HK) | 買入 | 21.4元
華潤置地(01109.HK) | 買入 | 47.9元
長江基建集團(01038.HK) | 買入 | 50元
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