標普將今年全球實質GDP增長預測降至2.3%
標普全球市場財智(S&P Global Market Intelligence)發表最新報告,預計今年全球實質GDP增長2.3%,低於2023年時估計的2.7%,其中包括亞太區等一些地區的經濟增長相對強勁,有助於避免全球經濟硬著陸。
標普全球市場財智全球經濟學家Ken Wattret表示,去年中期陷入停滯的通脹下降趨勢已恢復,預計將持續到2024年,這與供需再度平衡的情況一致。
Ken Wattret表示,隨著消費物價通脹率將回到目標的信心增強,預計已發展經濟體央行將在2024年降息。儘管近期市場預期美國和歐元區全年減息約150個基點看起來有些過多,但貨幣政策在2024年上半年出現轉向的可能性越來越大。
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