瑞銀錢于軍料至2030年間中國潛在GDP平均增長介乎4%至4.5%
瑞銀集團中國區總裁及瑞銀證券董事長錢于軍預測2030年中國潛在GDP增長將放緩至3.5%,但目前預期現時至2030年間中國潛在GDP平均增長介乎4%至4.5%,佔全球增長的三分之一。
他指出,地緣政治將依然是一個主要焦點所在,去全球化已開始產生影響,人口結構正在向老齡化轉變,而對人工智慧等技術的更大依賴以應對其對勞動力產生的影響,也引發圍繞政府債務和支出的一系列問題。能源轉型對公共和私人資本的成本要求也不容小覷。
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