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《即日市評》恆指倒跌失萬七 內需股弱 賭股逆市揚
港股今日(2日)於2024年首個交易日反覆向下。美股道指及納指上周五(12月29日)各微跌0.06%或0.56%,執筆之時,美國10年期債券升至3.944厘,美匯指數升至101.45,道指期貨最新升92點或0.24%,納指期貨最新升0.05%。中國去年12月製造業PMI降至49遜預期,去年12月財新製造業PMI錄50.8勝預期。人民幣即期急跌400點,收7.1320兌一美元,上證綜指全日跌12點或0.43%收2,962點,深證成指跌1.3%,而滬深兩市成交額共7,878億元人民幣。 恆指今早高開87點後掉頭向下,曾跌322點一度低見16,725點,全日跌258點或1.5%,收16,788點;國指跌95點或1.7%,收5,672點;恆生科技指數跌49點或1.3%,收3,714點。大市全日成交總額766.41億元,滬、深港通南下交易淨流入31.71億及19.16億元人民幣。 部份網遊股有支持,騰訊(00700.HK)及網易-S(09999.HK)股價各升1%及3.9%。美團-W(03690.HK)下滑3.1%收79.4元。而友邦(01299.HK)股價下滑3.5%。 【網易有支持 啤酒股涯沽】 內需股受壓,李寧(02331.HK)及安踏(02020.HK)股價各跌5.8%及3.1%。蒙牛乳業(02319.HK)跌5.4%,啤酒股涯沽,燕京啤酒(000729.SZ)預告去年全年盈利少於去年首三季盈利,華潤啤酒(00291.HK)挫8.3%,百威亞太(01876.HK)跌4.2%,青島啤酒(00168.HK)下滑近4.2%。 野村發表報告指出,內地去年12月官方製造業採購經理指數(PMI),由11月的49.4降至49,低過市場及該行預期的49.6與49.4,創七個月低位,並為9月短暫溫和擴張後,連續三個月錄得收縮。而過去九個月中,有八個月的製造業PMI處於收縮區間,反映出製造業活動長期面臨的阻力。去幾個月製造業和服務業PMI持續收縮,證實了該行的看法。隨著被壓抑的需求減弱、房地產困境持續存在以及外部挑戰揮之不去,該行預計當前的經濟低迷情況將持續至今年春季,屆時經濟下滑的痛苦可能最終導致當局將推出真正有效的措施,以穩定房地產產業,恢復所有實體的信心。 【跌股千二隻 濠賭股造好】 港股今日市寬轉弱,主板股票的升跌比率為14比28(上日28為比15),下跌1,163隻(跌幅3.1%),恆指成份股今日14隻股份上升,下跌股份68隻,升跌比率為17比83(上日為54比37);大市今日錄沽空101.9億元,佔可沽空股份成交額617.74億元的16.495%(上日為13.313%)。 濠賭股逆市造好,金沙中國(01928.HK)走高3.9%收23.75元,銀娛(00027.HK)升1.6%,美高梅中國(02282.HK)漲4.9%。摩根大通發表研究報告指,去年12月澳門博彩收入按月增16%至186億澳門元,高於市場預期的170億至175億澳門元,意味著每日平均賭收為5.99億澳門元。自澳門重新開放以來,是次為復甦率首次達到2019年水平的80%以上。 該行表示,濠賭股將由1月底開始公布第四季盈利,預計行業EBITDA將按季增長逾10%,達到疫情前水平的85%左右,整體趨勢按季保持基本穩定。該行重申對濠賭股持建設性看法,首選美高梅中國。
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