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《即日市評》恆指再創今年低 藥明系捱沽 網易挫半成
受科網及醫療股走弱拖累,恆指今日先升後回,再創近一年低位。美國聯儲局主席鮑威爾指未來作出貨幣政策決定時會謹慎行事,美股道指及納指上周五(8日)各升0.8%及0.55%,執筆之時,美國10年期債券跌至4.236厘,美匯指數處升至103.4,道指期貨最新跌44點或0.12%,納指期貨最新跌0.2%。上證綜指全日跌8點或0.29%收3,022點,深證成指跌0.6%,而滬深兩市成交額共8,512億人民幣。 恆指今日(4日)跟隨外圍高開88點,惟其後反覆倒跌,午後更曾跌213點低見16,617點,再創逾一年低,全日收報16,646點,跌184點或1.1%;國指跌58點或1%,收報5,703點;恆生科技指數跌71點或1.9%,收報3,759點。大市全日成交總額1,063.85億元。滬、深港通南下交易全日淨流入7.21億及3.03億元人民幣。金價創新高,金礦股紫金(02899.HK)升3.8%, 【金礦股造高 藥明系捱沽】 恆指季檢今日起生效,理想(02015.HK)及藥明康德(02359.HK)首日染藍,全日各跌3.3%及8.8%。藥明聯合(02268.HK)股價下挫10.9%。藥明生物(02269.HK)股價跌23.8%中途停牌,公司今日召開業務最新消息會議,透露藥物開發業務端及生產端預料之外影響收入和利潤,料今年毛利率及增速具挑戰。 藥明生物在簡報中表示,公司料今年和明年上半年最具挑戰,預計明年下半年逐步回暖。當中,今年的毛利率和增速最具挑戰,但在未來幾年預期毛利率和增速將逐步恢復增長:2024年穩健增長,2025年及以後預期恢復強勁增長。 【跌股千一隻 網易挫半成】 港股主板今日市寬轉弱,主板股票的升跌比率為14比28(上日為15比25),下跌1,187隻(跌幅3.3%),恆指成份股今日29隻股份上升,50隻股份下跌,升跌比率為35比61(上日為14比81);大市今日錄沽空165.16億元,佔可沽空股份成交額922.71億元的17.899%(上日23.443%)。 阿里(09988.HK)跌1.5%,集團系內阿里網絡重組,杭州灝月接手上市公司股權。騰訊(00700.HK)股價全日跌0.7%。網易(09999.HK)跌5.2%。 高盛指出,騰訊將於下周五(15日)推出矚目新遊戲《元夢之星》,該行注意到騰訊已確認在遊戲上投入大量資源,包括騰訊互動娛樂事業群(IEG)/天美工作室群、首階段投入14億元人民幣用於UGC系統/創作者的投資,以及與如《王者榮耀》般的IP聯動。該行認為,與市場上現有的派對遊戲相比,相信《元夢之星》憑藉其多樣化的遊戲玩法、微信/QQ建立的社交網絡,以及可能在包括抖音在內的主要平台上進行大規模推廣,可以瞄準更廣泛的跨年齡受眾。 網易方面,高盛指公司已於今年成功推出同類遊戲《蛋仔派對》,其今年收入約70億至80億元人民幣,與《元夢之星》在用戶和花費時間上的競爭將值得關注。該行預期,雖然該兩款遊戲及類似遊戲的用戶將出現部分重疊,但估計派對遊戲的整體潛在市場應會快速擴張,並迎合許多其他遊戲類型的用戶,如射擊及休閒等,而非簡單地蠶食兩款遊戲類型的用戶。
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