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盛松成:降準空間大於降息 人民幣有望保持溫和升值
據《上海證券報》引述中國人民銀行調查統計司原司長盛松成在「2023中歐金融與投資論壇暨CLF50年度會議」上表示,實現明年經濟穩定增長尚需努力。預計明年仍將實行積極的財政政策,貨幣政策配合積極的財政政策,相信在降準方面政策空間相對較大。
盛松成稱,目前內地金融機構加權存款準備金率為7.4%,而利率則已處於歷史低位。目前LPR已創2019年改革以來新低,可見降準的空間大於降息。
盛松成還表示,內地貨幣政策需要考慮內外平衡,是內地降息比較審慎的原因之一。中美兩國利差及其變化趨勢是決定匯率的重要因素之一,預計中美利差將進入穩定期,因此人民幣可能保持溫和升值態勢,但升值幅度有限。
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