《即日市評》恆指三連跌 美團績前挫5% 舜宇瑞聲彈
受美團-W(03690.HK)等科網股跌勢所拖累,港股今日(28日)續向下。投資者關注零售商在購物節的銷情表現,並觀望聯儲局主席鮑威爾等官員本周發言,美股道指及納指隔晚(27日)各跌0.16%及0.1%,撰文之時,美國10年期債券孳跌至4.394厘,美匯指數跌至103.28,道指期貨最新跌27點或0.08%,納指期貨最新跌0.29%。人行行長潘功勝表示將堅持政策方針以支持實體經濟發展,並料內房對金融市場溢出效應有限。上證綜指全日升6點或0.23%收3,038點,深證成指升0.5%,而滬深兩市成交額共7,728億人民幣。
恆指高開16點後下跌,曾跌221點一度低見17,303點,全日跌170點或1%,收17,354點(連跌三日,累跌556點或3.1%);國指全日跌68點或1.1%,收5,957點;恆生科技指數全日跌31點或0.8%,收4,000點。大市全日成交總額950.09億元,滬、深港通南下交易淨流出6.12億及2.85億元人民幣。遭沽空報告指控誇大收入的商湯(00020.HK)全日收跌4.9%報1.37元,商湯指沽空報告並無依據保留採取適當行動權利。
【恆指三連跌 美團績前挫】
科網股受壓,阿里-SW(09988.HK)全日股價走低2.3%報74.35元,騰訊(00700.HK)跌近1%報319.6元。美團公布季績前全日股價下挫5.2%報103元。摩根大通早前發表中國互聯網行業告,估計美團今年第三季業績將符合預期,但料公司第四季指引或面臨風險。該行估計美團今年第三季營收基本符合預期(該行及市場料公司旗下本地商業收入按年升23%),每股盈利較市場預測有上行風險,然而大多數投資者將關注美團今年第四季指引,鑑於宏觀消費(包括線下本地消費活動)疲軟,預計該指引將保持審慎,百勝中國(09987.HK)等相關企業的審慎指引就證明了這一點。摩通亦表示,美團旗下虧損的社區團購業務指引亦將至關重要。
美團收市後公布第三季業績,按非國際財務報告準則計算,錄得經調整溢利57.27億元人民幣按年升62.4%,高於本網綜合8間券商預測經調整溢利料介乎48.23億至56.95億元人民幣;經調整EBITDA按年增28.9%至61.89億元人民幣。第三季業績純利35.93億元人民幣按年升1.95倍,高於本網綜合3間券商預測溢利介乎24億至35.02億人民幣。收入764.67億人民幣,按年升22.1%。核心本地商業方面,分部收入按年增長24.5%至577億人民幣。經營溢利按年增長8.3%至101億元,經營利潤率為17.5%。餐飲外賣經營溢利的穩健增長被到店、酒店及旅遊業務經營溢利的按年下降所部分抵銷。新業務方面,季內新業務分部收入按年增長15.3%至188億元。該分部的經營虧損按年收窄24.5%至51億元人民幣。
【跌股一千隻 舜宇瑞聲彈】
港股主板今日市寬續弱,主板股票的升跌比率為16比24(上日15為比26),下跌股份1,000隻(跌幅2.5%),恆指成份股今日19隻股份上升,59隻股份下跌,升跌比率為24比74(上日為34比63);大市今日錄沽空171.86億元,佔可沽空股份成交額819.43億元的20.973%(上日22.373%)。
傳蘋果Vision Pro內地供應鏈比例達60%,蘋果概念股熱炒,高偉電子(01415.HK)及舜宇(02382.HK)全日股價各上揚4%及4.7%,丘鈦(01478.HK)升7.2%。瑞聲(02018.HK)獲高盛上調目標價,股價升7.5%。
天風國際分析師郭明錤表示,華為將於明年上半年推出新款旗艦機型P70系列,台灣光學設備製造商大立光及舜宇光學(02382.HK)為P70系列的高階鏡頭供應商,可望在淡季中顯著受惠。他指,華為重返高階手機市場,會採用較高相機規格,出貨量大幅增長,將顯著推動高階手機光學升級週期。
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