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恆生下調全年香港GDP增長預測至3.3%
阿思達克 11-24 11:07
恆生經濟研究部發表報告,第三季香港經濟按年實質增長4.1%,按季則升0.1%。進出口表現未如預期,私人消費仍然是經濟增長的主要動力來源。而基於第三季經濟數據遜於預期,因此把香港今年經濟增長預測由4%調低至3.3%。 報告提到,由於利率上升,過去一年的銀行貸款統計數據未如理想,但該行預計這種情況不會長時間維持,並認為環球貨幣政策的緊縮周期已接近尾聲,甚至已經結束。雖然過去兩年利率高企為香港經濟復甦帶來一定阻礙,但相信隨著央行明年開始放寬貨幣政策,將創造更有利的金融條件支持信貸需求,以至整體經濟的復甦。 報告亦指出,經濟面臨的外部挑戰也不容忽視。環球經濟放緩或持續對外貿構成影響。此外,內地房地產市場的不確定性依然存在。
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