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郭思治:大市仍持續整固於18,000點關前
阿思達克 11-23 09:09
香港股票分析師協會副主席郭思治稱,11月份剩下之交易日只得6天(連同今天(23日)在內),故整個大市將受即月期指轉倉及結算等相關活動所主導,只是在買賣兩閑之下,整個大市暫處膠著狀態,持續反覆拉鋸於18,000點關口前,恆指昨早市先輕微高開3點至17,736點,其後再稍升至17,796點,但由於買盤不繼,加上零碎沽壓又滲著湧現,故整個大市卒漸趨反覆,而恆指亦一度稍回落至17,650點方漸轉喘定,恆指最後報收17,734點,較上日僅微升1點,全日總成交金額再萎縮至得811億元。 從技術上看,大市雖仍稍見反覆及整固,惟恆指卻一直穩企於10天線(約在17,615點左近),50天線(約在17,603點左近)及20天線(約在17,516點左近)之上,單從此點看,大市目前該有無形之手在維穩,其目的可能是希望本月期指能在較接近18,000點水平進行轉倉及結算,同時,亦顯示大市自10月24日低位16,879點開始之反彈,技術上或會延續6至8週,即是說,只要無黑天鵝事件出現,大市之反彈可望伸延至12月份之中旬,惟有點需留意,由於大市之成交金額仍略見偏疏,故在動力不配之下,大市之升勢或會續受規限。 阿里-SW(09988.HK)目前正處技術性反彈中,而股價亦正欲回補上週五所遺留下之下降裂口,此下降裂口之頂部為81.35元,此亦為短期後市之上望目標。 (筆者為證監會持牌人)~
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