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摩通預測明年油價水平與今年大致相若
摩根大通全球商品研究部主管Natasha Kaneva團隊發表報告,預測布蘭特原油明年價格與今年大致持平,平均每桶83美元,高於預測今年平均的每桶81美元,2025年均價為每桶75美元。報告預測明年石油需求將增加每日160萬桶,亦預期油組與夥伴國(OPEC+)以外產油國明年增產,譬如美國。 報告指,縱使持續的經濟逆風,由強烈新興市場、堅韌美國及疲弱而穩定的歐洲需求為整體需求打下基礎,料三分之二石油需求增加來自整體經濟擴張,其餘來自航空燃料需求正常化。報告亦表示,為維持石油市場平衡,OPEC+將需要繼續限產。
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