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瑞銀汪濤料亞洲新興市場明年經濟增長將放緩至4.7%
阿思達克 11-14 17:14
瑞銀亞洲經濟研究主管及首席中國經濟學家汪濤預計,亞洲新興市場經濟增長將從今年的5%,放緩至明年的4.7%,當中明年中國經濟增速料將放緩至4.4%,對比今年預測達5.2%。撇除中國外的整個亞洲市場,該行則預計明年經濟增長將略高於2023年的4.6%,達到4.9%。 汪濤指出,全球科技上行週期預期可帶動亞洲貿易和出口,對臺灣及南韓較有利,而新加坡、越南和馬來西亞的受惠程度相對稍弱,印度預計明年至2025財年經濟增長將大致穩定在6.3%及6.2%左右。 至於東盟六國,瑞銀預測GDP增長將從2023年的4.2%小幅升至2024年的4.5%,預計越南、新加坡、泰國和菲律賓的經濟增長將加快,而馬來西亞和印尼的增長將溫和放緩。
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