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《即日市評》恆指反覆跌 特步安踏捱沽 美聯停牌
市場觀望中美元首明日(15日)將於三藩市APEC峰會期間會晤及美國通脹數據,恆指今日(14日)先升後跌。美股道指及納指隔晚(13日)各升0.2%及跌0.2%;撰文之時,美國10年期債券孳息跌至4.622厘,美匯指數跌至105.64,道指期貨最新升10點或0.03%,納指期貨最新升0.26%。人行公布10月新增人民幣貸款7,384億人民幣(市場預期6,550億人民幣),上證綜指全日升9點或0.3%收3,056點,深證成指升0.17%,而滬深兩市成交額共8,935億人民幣。 恆指今早高開68點,初段曾升139點一度高見17,565點,其後曾倒跌67點曾見17,358點,全日跌29點或0.2%,收17,396點;國指跌24點或0.4%,收5,964點;恆生科技指數跌29點或0.7%,收3,951點。大市全日成交總額767.8億元,滬、深港通南下交易淨流入13.61億及17.41億元人民幣。華潤置地(01109.HK)股價彈高3.7%,恆安(01044.HK)股價漲2.8%。 美聯集團(01200.HK)今日下午2時10分起短暫停牌,以待刊發內幕消息公告,停牌前報0.55元,跌5.17%,美聯集團旗下美聯物業、其管理層及香港置業,被競爭事務委員會入稟興訟,指涉嫌連同兩間地產代理公司合謀訂定佣金比率。 【恆指反覆跌 科技股造淡】 科技股偏軟,阿里-SW(09988.HK)及美團-W(03690.HK)股價各跌近1.8%及3%,小米-W(01810.HK)跌2.2%,騰訊(00700.HK)走低0.6%,京東-SW(09618.HK)跌1.2%。中金發表報告,今年雙11期間,即由10月31日晚上8時至11月11日期間,全網銷售額按年增長2%至11,386億元人民幣,其中綜合電商按年下降1%至9,235億元人民幣,排名前三平台依次為阿里旗下天貓、京東、拼多多(PDD.US),直播電商按年增長19%至2,151億元人民幣,排名前三平台依次為抖音、快手-W(01024.HK)和點淘。 該行指,按平台來看,天貓、京東呈正增長,直播電商增速顯著跑贏行業;根據各公司戰報,雙11期間,天貓實現用戶規模、商家規模、訂單量和成交額正增長,京東成交額、訂單量和用戶數創新高,抖音商城整體目標超預期達成,商城GMV按年增119%,蟬媽媽顯示雙11期間抖音GMV按年增長71%,快手截至11月5日成交GMV按年增長85%,雙11全周期訂單量增長近50%。 【市寬略轉弱 特步安踏挫】 港股今日市寬略轉弱,主板股票的升跌比率為20比18(上日24為比17),恆指成份股今日50隻股份上升,下跌股份27隻,升跌比率為63比34(上日為88比10);大市今日錄沽空135.75億元,佔可沽空股份成交額622.02億元的21.824%(上日22.474%)。 體育用品股特步(01368.HK)「雙十一」銷售遜色遭券商唱淡,股價挫16.5%。安踏(02020.HK)跌4.9%,為跌幅最大藍籌。摩根士丹利發表報告指,今年首三季中國體育用品銷售額按年增長12%,第三季增長則從第二季的20%,回落至8%,與名義經濟增長放緩步伐一致,相比之下寶勝國際(03813.HK)第二季銷售額按年增長17%後,第三季已錄得約1%的按年跌幅,至10月份跌幅更擴大至4%。 該行指出,銷售放緩主要由於整體市場表現疲軟,預計內地體育用品行業第四季前景黯淡,增長預測可能要向下修正,明年首季部分大型品牌或零售商增長更可能乏力甚至錄得輕微下滑的情況。寶勝10月份銷售表現疲軟,以及安踏、李寧(02331.HK)等致力通過低線城市擴張來推動增長,大摩指出此反映明年行業競爭或將趨向激烈。
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