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《即日市評》鮑威爾「放鷹」恆指四連跌 賭股捱沽
美聯儲局主席鮑威爾「放鷹」指不確定貨幣政策是否足以使通脹率回到年增長率2%目標水平,稱仍有加息可能,港股今日持續向下。美股道指及納指隔晚各跌0.7%及0.9%;執筆之時,美國10年期債券孳息升至4.614釐,美匯指數升至105.85,道指期貨最新升93點或0.27%,納指期貨最新升0.01%。上證綜指全日跌14點或0.47%收3,038點,深證成指跌0.5%,而滬深兩市成交額共8,274億人民幣。 恆指今早低開160點後跌幅擴大,曾跌333點一度低見17,177點,全日跌308點或1.8%,收17,203點,連跌四日(累跌763點或4.2%);國指全日跌129點或2.2%,收5,900點;恆生科技指數跌131點或3.3%,收3,892點。大市全日成交總額750.91億元,滬、深港通南下交易淨流入35.2億及25.68億元人民幣。華人置業(00127.HK)彈高9%收1.69元,中國恆大(03333.HK)走低1.8%。信義光能(00968.HK)下滑7.9%。華潤電力(00836.HK)宣派特別息每股0.5元,全日股價升3.4%。 恆指本週累跌460點或2.6%、國指本週累跌151點或2.5%及恆生科指本週累跌44點或1.1%。多名美聯儲局官員指美通脹問題還沒有完全解決,令市場擔心美國加息週期仍見頂。內地昨公佈10月CPI按年跌0.2%,令市場憂通縮壓力。 【恆指四連跌 晶片股受壓】 科網股造淡,騰訊(00700.HK)全日跌1.3%報302.8元,阿里巴巴(09988.HK)及美團(03690.HK)全日股價各下滑3.1%及3.7%,小米(01810.HK)股價跌2.9%。晶片股受壓,中芯國際(00981.HK)股價挫6.8%收21.8元,華虹半導體(01347.HK)股價急滑15.8%。 摩根士丹利發表報告指,中芯受累於附屬及合營公司表現,第三季每股盈利僅達到1.18美仙,較該行預市場預期低39%及46%,期內收入則大致符合預期,達到16.21億美元。公司給予第四季經營指引,預測收入將按季增長1%至3%,較大摩及市場預期低8%及2%,而毛利率指引介乎16%至18%,亦較大摩及市場預測的19.7%及18.2%遜色。該行重申對中芯的「減持」評級,認爲利潤率持續受壓,第四季毛利率指引令人感到意外,反映公司短期內無法提高產品定價,考慮到更大幅度的折舊及資本支出增加,都將爲公司利潤率及自由現金流前景帶來壓力,給予目標價16元。 【跌股千一隻 濠賭股捱沽】 港股今日市寬續弱,主板股票的升跌比率爲13比28(上日14爲比26),下跌股份1,157只(跌幅2.6%),恆指成份股今日6只股份上升,下跌股份74只,升跌比率爲8比93(上日爲30比63);大市今日錄沽空148.43億元,佔可沽空股份成交額632.69億元的23.46%(上日24.03%)。 濠賭股受壓,銀娛(00027.HK)全日股價下挫近6.5%收41.25元,金沙中國(01928.HK)跌3.5%,永利澳門(01128.HK)急挫12.8%。匯豐研究發表報告指,澳門重新開放後,每位賭客的平均開支正在下降,旅客的重點正在轉向音樂會等非博彩活動。隨着遊客繼續訪澳,雖然速度較爲溫和,但擁有更多酒店客房和賭桌的營運商可以長期實現更持續的增長,因爲他們可以更好地迎合大量低消費玩家。該行預計,中場市場將在明年恢復至2019年水平的107%。 花旗指,永利澳門第三季度EBITDA差過市場預期,主要因爲澳門半島項目中場贏率較低,而所有項目的零售收入均遜預期,雖然管理層指,10月份中場贏率已回覆正常,但該行維持保守態度,估計澳門半島項目中場贏率,由之前的20.5%跌至約19%,將其目標價由10.3元下調至9.65元,維持「買入」評級。
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