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恆生:本港第三季經濟增長低於市場預期 反映經濟復甦續受外圍環境影響
阿思達克 10-31 17:25
本港第三季GDP預估增長4.1%。恆生銀行經濟研究部主管兼首席經濟師薛俊升表示,本港第三季經濟增長低於市場預期,主要因爲對外貿易持續錄得按年跌幅,反映外圍環境欠佳繼續影響本港經濟復甦。 他指,第二季及第三季實質政府開支下降,也可能反映今年消費券金額低於去年的因素。不過,私人消費及旅遊業復甦,繼續成爲本港經濟增長的主要動力,即使本港資產市場表現疲弱,私人消費仍然錄得高單位數的增長,而反映旅遊業的服務貿易亦保持兩成以上的增幅。 今年首三季,本港經濟平均增長2.8%,略爲低於該行全年經濟增長預測的4%,但該行認爲第四季消費及旅遊業可望保持復甦,將有助抵銷部分外圍環境轉差的影響。
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