郭思治:大市昨先大幅高開後反覆回落
香港股票分析師協會副主席郭思治稱,大市經過連跌四天後,昨(25日)出現技術性回升,但相對累積之跌幅計,技術上只屬急跌後之小許後抽而已,恆指昨早市先大幅高開474點至17,465點,惟由於高台買盤不繼,加上伺高回吐之零碎沽壓又不斷滲著湧現,故大市不但未能作進一步之推升,反之,升幅逐漸收窄,至午後,恆指更一度反覆低見17,114點,即其時之升幅僅得123點,由於大市走勢漸趨反覆,故大市一直處拉鋸之中,恆指最後報收17,085點,較上日升93點,全日總成交金額只得954億元,從走勢上看,昨天大市於早段雖曾大幅高開,惟恆指卻受制於各組常用之平均移動線之下,單從此點看,整個大市暫仍處反覆續尋底之弱態中。
本月剩下之交易日只得四天,明天(27日)是即月期指轉倉高峰日,而下周一(30日)則是即月期指結算日,到下周二(31日)則是即月場外衍生工具結第著日,照目前之市況看,本月期指似會在較低水平進行轉倉及結算,假如恆指仍未能在本月底前成功重越20天線(約在17,515點左近)及10天線(約在17,564點左近)並穩守此兩組平均移動線之上,擔心整個反覆不明之形態將會伸延至11月份之上旬。
政府將下調股票印花稅,由目前買賣雙方各按交易金額支付0.13%下調至0.1%,目標於11月底完成立法程序,惟市場反應卻頗負面,因港交所(00388.HK)之股價昨日由298完一度急跌至276元,單從此點看,足見市場頗為失望。
(筆者為證監會持牌人)~
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