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標普全球評級:以巴衝突疊加全球地緣風險 基本情境下戰事料局限加沙
阿思達克 10-19 13:27
以巴局勢惡化,評級機構標普全球評級發表報告,指以巴衝突為該行全球地緣政治風險評估帶來上行壓力,該行稱衝突發生前有關風險已高企及惡化中。 報告稱,在國際關係領域,俄烏戰事及中美關係緊張,加上以巴衝突,疊加全球地緣政治風險。該行並不低估以巴衝突對以色列及加沙人員帶來的人道災難,在基本情境下估計衝突將大致局限於以色列及加沙,限制對地區以外的地理及信貸影響。 標普全球評級稱,以色列與黎巴嫩真主黨開戰的衝突升級風險仍顯著,不過伊朗直接捲入衝突的概率較低。倘衝突升級,主要風險是潛在能源供應震盪,或支持通脹頑固及壓抑經濟活動。
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