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《內地樓市》標普料今年內房行業銷售再跌10%至15% 明年跌幅有望收窄
標普全球評級發表報告,預期今年內地房地產業銷售額約11.5萬億至12萬億元人民幣(下同),意味按年料跌10%至15%,明年銷售額再跌5%,估計介乎11萬億至11.5萬億元。由於去年及今年都錄得雙位數跌幅,明年房地產銷售出現更大跌幅的可能性較低。
標普預期,內房銷售保持低迷,建築動工持續偏低,較低端城市的庫存高企及監管加強,都影響銷售。目前政策措施首先讓一線城市恢復健康,而市場氣氛、銷售和價格都開始趨於正常,但較低端城市面對供應過剩及缺乏信心的情況,這種情況令國有開發商及民營開發商之間的差距擴大。
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