《即日市評》恆指止連升 科指急吐逾3% 京東創新低
恆指連升六個交易日(累升1,042點或6.1%)後,今日受科網股轉弱拖累回落。美國9月消費物價指數按月升0.4%,按年升3.7%,聯儲局年內再加息的預期升溫,美股道指及納指隔晚跌0.5%及0.6%,執筆之時,美國10年期債券孳息率處4.648厘,美匯指數處106.31,道指期貨最新升37點或0.11%,納指期貨最新跌0.14%。中國公布9月CPI按年無升跌(市場預期升0.2%)、9月PPI按年降2.5%(市場預期降2.4%),上證綜指今日跌19點或0.6%收3,088點,深證成指跌近1%,而滬深兩市成交額共8,084億人民幣。人行收市後公布9月新增人民幣貸款2.31萬億人幣(市場預期2.5萬億人幣)及9月社會融資規模增量4.12萬億人幣(市場預期3.7萬億人幣)。
恆指今早低開291點,初段跌幅曾收窄至224點見18,013點,其後跌幅擴大,午市曾跌461點一度低見17,776點,全日跌424點或2.3%,收17,813點;國指跌151點或2.4%,收6,115點;恆生科技指數跌139點或3.5%,收3,879點。大市全日成交總額841.95億元,滬、深港通南下交易淨流入26.71億及26.8億元人民幣。友邦(01299.HK)及工行(01398.HK)股價各走低2.4%及1.8%。
恆指本周累升327點或1.9%、國指本周累升141點或2.4%及恆生科指本周累升63點或1.7%。聯儲局副主席傑斐遜指美長期國債收益率攀升直接影響借貸成本,其後亦有多名聯儲局委員繼續「放鴿」,此外「國家隊」中央匯金本周三增持四大國有商銀A股,並計劃於未來六個月內繼續在二級市場增持4家銀行股份。
【恆指急回吐 京東挫一成】
科網股急回,騰訊(00700.HK)全日股價下滑近3.1%收306.8元,阿里巴巴(09988.HK)及美團(03690.HK)股價各下滑3.8%及3.2%,京東(09618.HK)全日價挫11.5%收104.2元創新低。中金發表報告,預計京東第三季收入按年增長1.4%,之前預測為4.5%,其中零售商品成交金額料增長2.6%,之前預測為5.5%,零售收入料按年持平,之前預測為增長3.6%,低於市場預期。維持第三季利潤率預測,但考慮到宏觀環境能見度較低,且公司業務調整影響或持續,下調今明兩年收入預測各2%和3%至10,789億和11,683億元人民幣,對應按年增速分別為3%和8%,下調今明兩年非通用準則淨利潤各2%和6%至332億和390億元人民幣。
【跌股千三隻 中海物業挫】
港股主板今日市寬轉弱,主板股票的升跌比率為10比31(上日26比16),下跌股份1,302隻(跌幅2.9%);恆指成份股今日4隻股份上升,74隻股份下跌,升跌比率為5比93(上日為86比11);大市今日錄沽空153.12億元,佔可沽空股份成交額726.46億元的21.08%(上日19.51%)。
中海物業(02669.HK)全日股價下挫11%收6.45元。花旗發表報告指,中海物業宣布以不超過9.5億元收購同系中海監理,代價相當於2021年至2023年首八個月平均年度利潤的17.5倍市盈率,及採用市場法的獨立估值師的公允價值折讓3.3%。賣方為中國建築興業(00830.HK),故屬於關聯交易,預計於今年底完成。
花旗認為,是次收購價格昂貴,並有新業務風險,而建設監理是專案類的非經常性業務。該行表示,中海監理是全國綜合資格最高的前十名。考慮到17.5倍的併購市盈率,而集團在宣布交易前後的市盈率僅為為16.6倍及14.2倍,因此建議價格並不便宜。另外,收購所得的股本回報率為5.7%,而集團自身則為38%。由於投資者對併購理由、現金使用獨立性和關聯交易的憂慮,該行料中海物業股價可能短期內受壓。
Follow us
Find us on
Facebook,
Twitter ,
Instagram, and
YouTube or frequent updates on all things investing.Have a financial topic you would like to discuss? Head over to the
uSMART Community to share your thoughts and insights about the market! Click the picture below to download and explore uSMART app!

Disclaimers
uSmart Securities Limited (“uSmart”) is based on its internal research and public third party information in preparation of this article. Although uSmart uses its best endeavours to ensure the content of this article is accurate, uSmart does not guarantee the accuracy, timeliness or completeness of the information of this article and is not responsible for any views/opinions/comments in this article. Opinions, forecasts and estimations reflect uSmart’s assessment as of the date of this article and are subject to change. uSmart has no obligation to notify you or anyone of any such changes. You must make independent analysis and judgment on any matters involved in this article. uSmart and any directors, officers, employees or agents of uSmart will not be liable for any loss or damage suffered by any person in reliance on any representation or omission in the content of this article. The content of the article is for reference only and does not constitute any offer, solicitation, recommendation, opinion or guarantee of any securities, virtual assets, financial products or instruments. Regulatory authorities may restrict the trading of virtual asset-related ETFs to only investors who meet specified requirements. Any calculations or images in the article are for illustrative purposes only.
Investment involves risks and the value and income from securities may rise or fall. Past performance is not indicative of future performance. Please carefully consider your personal risk tolerance, and consult independent professional advice if necessary.