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能源危機殺到! 摩通警告較歐洲更嚴重 料重磅能源股跑贏大市
摩根大通周五(22日)建議買入重磅能源股,將全球能源股評級從「中性」上調至「增持」,摩通認為2025年之後能源的供需缺口將出現,而且行業基本面有所加強。 以Christyan Malek為首的摩通分析團隊認為,能源行業正處於結構性上行周期,石油價格正常化上升,預計石油價格以及能源股的交易範圍將擴大,但認為油價升至每桶100美元至120美元範圍,不會對需求產生破壞性,因為石油在世界經濟中的份額低於4%。 同時,摩通稱不認同需求有見頂的擔憂,至少在2030年之前不必擔憂,因為清潔能源系統仍未成熟,傳統燃料壓力更大,需要填補缺口,並滿足新興市場帶動的不斷的需求增長。 報告又稱,以石油為主導的能源危機或較2022年歐洲發生的天然氣危機更為嚴重,OPEC將掌控全球石油市場, 摩根大通推薦買入大型股,而非中型股,美股方面,預期埃克森美孚(XOM.US) 、 Marathon Petroluem(MPC.US) 、Tenaris S.A.(TS.US) 、 Baker Hughes(BKR.US)將跑贏大市,報告亦有看好中石油(090857.HK)能跑出。
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